Candidates from different years vs. each other (user search)
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  Candidates from different years vs. each other (search mode)
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Author Topic: Candidates from different years vs. each other  (Read 44727 times)
Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
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Posts: 20,414
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Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
« on: October 08, 2011, 11:49:52 AM »
I'd love to see Mondale vs. McGovern.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2011, 02:27:54 PM »
Quote from: Thomas D on October 15, 2011, 09:49:44 AM
Gore 2000 vs. Kerry 2004



Gore- Blue
Kerry- Green

How does Kerry win IA and NM?
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2011, 03:51:56 PM »
Quote from: Johannes Overgaard, Antillan MP (SPP-Bronseland) on October 16, 2011, 02:21:09 PM
John Anderson vs. Eugene Debs '12



Due to the large gap between the elections, I decided to split the difference and use the 1944 numbers. In a nailbiter, Debs wins 269-262. Will recalculate using 1912 and 1980 numbers.

EDIT: In 1912, Anderson wins 267-264. In 1980, Debs wins 277-251 (disregarding Alaska, Hawaii, and DC).

EDIT AGAIN: I suppose I should mention that Debs is yellow and Anderson is green.


Those dirty Oklahoma commies.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2011, 06:15:51 PM »
How about Obama vs. Ike '52?
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2011, 06:33:45 PM »
Never mind, I just figured out how to do maps. Here's Wilson '12 vs. Mondale. Mondale wins the PV, but Wilson wins by a comfortable margin based on 1912 numbers:
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2011, 06:58:23 PM »
Obama vs. FDR '44 (FDR wins PV in all 4 of these):



'40:



'36:



And '32:



Obama wins in 1944 and 1940.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
« Reply #6 on: October 18, 2011, 02:48:55 PM »
That's not how it works, dear boy.

Anyway, here's a McGovern v. Goldwater map. McGovern wins, but Goldwater wins the PV due to massive margins in the South.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
« Reply #7 on: October 18, 2011, 06:14:41 PM »
Also, Obama wins GA.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
« Reply #8 on: October 21, 2011, 02:41:14 PM »
Lincoln v. Kennedy:
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
« Reply #9 on: October 21, 2011, 07:00:58 PM »



And LBJ vs. Nixon '72:



Finally, Truman vs. Clinton '96:



Truman (red) wins in a squeaker.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
« Reply #10 on: October 24, 2011, 07:54:32 PM »
Kennedy (red) vs. Carter (green):



Jimmy wins by a single electoral vote in 1960.

Hoover (blue) vs. Reagan (green):



Reagan wins rather comfortably in 1928 numbers.

Coolidge (blue) vs. Obama (red):



Based on 1924, Obama wins in a squeaker.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
« Reply #11 on: October 25, 2011, 02:14:52 PM »
Quote from: Joe Republic on October 25, 2011, 11:52:27 AM
Oh, I didn't realize these were based on actual numbers.  I figured it was all just speculative.

Yup. Basically, you take whoever got a larger percentage of the vote in the state.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
« Reply #12 on: April 09, 2012, 07:51:33 AM »
Here's an interesting one--Gore vs. Clinton '96:



Clinton (red) wins 320-218.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
« Reply #13 on: April 09, 2012, 09:31:47 AM »
Dukakis demolishes Clinton '92 based on 1992 EC votes.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
« Reply #14 on: December 23, 2012, 11:04:26 PM »


Same year, different race: Barack Obama vs. Bob Casey. Guess who has what color. Tongue
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
« Reply #15 on: December 27, 2012, 06:57:55 PM »


Along the same lines, Obama vs. Brown in Ohio. Adams County was tied.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
« Reply #16 on: December 27, 2012, 08:27:00 PM »
« Edited: December 27, 2012, 08:29:18 PM by Senator Snowstalker »
A quicky: Obama vs. Menendez.



Again, Obama is green. The results here suggest that while Obama performed better with affluent whites (other than Monmouth, his counties were mountainous NY exurbs), Menendez certainly did better with Latinos and probably did better with middle/working-class whites.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
« Reply #17 on: December 27, 2012, 11:33:25 PM »
« Edited: December 27, 2012, 11:35:23 PM by Senator Snowstalker »
Different parties this time; Romney vs. Manchin. It really looks like a typical 50/50 race in WV (barring Clay & Nicholas Counties). Some of Obama's worst counties, like Mingo, were also among Manchin's best, which just goes to show how much both local issues (coal) and personal traits of candidates (race) can impact results.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
« Reply #18 on: December 30, 2012, 09:56:40 AM »
Quote from: Antonio V on December 29, 2012, 09:14:43 AM
Quote from: Senator Snowstalker on December 27, 2012, 06:57:55 PM


Along the same lines, Obama vs. Brown in Ohio. Adams County was tied.

So Obama beat Brown in most of inner and western Ohio? Surprising.

NW Ohio is a major auto manufacturing area. Most of the rest can be explained by a random independent that got over 4% in the Ohio Senate race. The biggest Obama/Brown gaps were along the WV border, for obvious reasons (even though for some reason Obama did better in Ohio coal country than in WV/PA/VA/KY/TN).
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
« Reply #19 on: February 16, 2013, 07:14:05 PM »


Dewey 1944 (green) beats Dewey 1948 (blue) 289-242 based on 1940's numbers.
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