OH: Public Policy Polling: Obama/Romney tied, Cain trails by 3

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Ohio President by Public Policy Polling on 2011-10-16

Summary: D: 48%, R: 45%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Tender Branson]

PPP uses a 47D-37R-16I sample here.

If we re-calculate the internals to a more "2012-looking" electorate, the numbers are:

40D-35R-25I: 47% Romney, 43% Obama - 47% Cain, 45% Obama

or

35D-35R-30I: 49% Romney, 41% Obama - 49% Cain, 43% Obama

[Reaganfan]

Holy cow!

[Eraserhead]

PPP uses a 47D-37R-16I sample here.

If we re-calculate the internals to a more "2012-looking" electorate, the numbers are:

40D-35R-25I: 47% Romney, 43% Obama - 47% Cain, 45% Obama

or

35D-35R-30I: 49% Romney, 41% Obama - 49% Cain, 43% Obama

We can't know what the 2012 electorate will look like a year out.

I continue to be surprised by how non-totalepicfail Cain's general election numbers have been so far though.

[The_Texas_Libertarian]

The GOP needs this state

Of the three major swing states (FL, OH and NC) the GOP needs to run the field.  Unfortunately for them poll after poll shows the President tied.  He really only needs one of them to prevent the conservatives from winning. 

[Rowan]

47% Dem sample? Yikes.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

This is the problem with PPP. They'd be a good pollster if they didn't do stuff like this. Their final poll will be pretty accurate but they inflate the Dem numbers during the campaign season.