My 2012 Senate predictions: GOP +6 (user search)
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  My 2012 Senate predictions: GOP +6 (search mode)
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Author Topic: My 2012 Senate predictions: GOP +6  (Read 11203 times)
Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
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Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
« on: October 23, 2011, 07:11:08 PM »
I think that, if the climate is good enough, the Democrats can actually gain seats (though they'd be due for a loss in either 2018 or 2024); win MA and NV, lose ND while narrowly holding on with Ben Nelson due to a rough GOP primary.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2011, 07:18:56 PM »
It's wishful thinking, of course, but remember 2 things:

1. The map has a disproportionately high number of blue states.
2. The Democratic incumbents considered "vulnerable" are strong enough for at least a toss-up.
3. Where things are going, I think an Obama mandate is in the cards, and like in 2008 he'd have some coattails.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2011, 06:33:36 AM »
I'm predicting between 45 and 51 seats.
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