In 13 months, what will the Intrade odds be for the 2016 prez. nominations?

[Averroës Nix]

I don't even want to try placing odds... but this list is my best attempt to name those who will be trading at above 0.5-1%

Democrats

Barack Obama
Andrew Cuomo
Hillary Clinton
Joe Biden
Martin O'Malley
Elizabeth Warren
Al Gore
John Kerry
Kirsten Gillibrand
Russ Feingold
Deval Patrick
Rahm Emmanuel
Kathleen Sebelius

Republicans

Chris Christie
Marco Rubio
Jeb Bush
Mike Pence
Bobby Jindal
Mike Huckabee
Jim DeMint
John Thune
Mitch Daniels
Rand Paul
Jon Huntsman
Sarah Palin
Paul Ryan
Colin Powell
John Kasich
Rob Portman
Bob McDonnell

[Averroës Nix]

Do Feingold, Warren assume they win an election before then? A former Senator seems unlikely, but a failed one-time Senate candidate seems very unlikely.

I think that Warren is very likely to win - but yes, I wouldn't expect her to be a player if she lost.

Feingold barely made the list - but liberal posters on this forum mention his name all the time. I don't expect him to run for anything, especially not the Presidency, but apparently many people do.