A major third party candidacy? Yes please!!
I'm not sure Paul would win any states at 18%, as like Perot, he doesn't have any obvious regional base... But you never know.
He might win Vermont?
Not a chance of winning, but he might come in second. He'd be pretty much assured to come in second if it were Obama vs. Cain vs. Paul
With Paul:
Obama - 44%
Romney - 32%
Paul - 18%
With Paul:
Obama (D) - 44%
Romney (R)- 32%
Paul (T)- 18%
Crazy ass map...
Paul wouldn't win WV. Too many people depend on handouts there, plus Romney is pro-coal enough. Plus it seems like the Dems have a floor of about 40%, so Obama might actually be in a position to win if Paul and Romney split the right wing vote.
Add Indiana to Paul's tally please.
There's no good reason to think he would win there.
IMHO, Paul's best states would be, in order:
1) Alaska
2) Montana
3) Idaho
4) Wyoming
5) Nevada
6) New Hampshire
7) North Dakota
South Dakota
9) Maine
10) Utah
He would only have a chance at winning the first four. Paul does best in Western Mountain states, but those have relatively few electoral votes.
