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Author Topic: 2011 Election Results Thread  (Read 29178 times)
Vice President PiT
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« Reply #200 on: November 09, 2011, 03:57:36 am »
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     It seems that Prop 26 has failed in Mississippi. 58% no with 96% of precincts reporting.
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« Reply #201 on: November 09, 2011, 05:52:21 am »
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The AP page has Houck up by 204 votes:
Total    62/62   Reeves, 22,391  50%   Houck, 22,595  50

while the VA SOS site has Reeves with 22,536 and Houck with 22,450.  Also 70 write-in votes.

If Reeves does win, the Senate would be tied 20-20.

Well, even the Washington Post acknowledges that Houck is trailing.

Va. elections: GOP Senate takeover hangs on 86 votes

By Mike DeBonis, Susan Svrluga and Carol Morello, Published: November 8

Virginia Democrats’ hopes of maintaining its hold on the Commonwealth’s upper house were very much in doubt late Tuesday, hinging on a razor-thin count in a single Senate district.
When the ballot-counting ended for the night, longtime Spotsylvania incumbent Sen. R. Edward Houck (D) was 86 votes behind Republican challenger Bryce E. Reeves.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/va-elections-few-voters-turn-out-amid-confusion-over-redistricting/2011/11/08/gIQAfxHV1M_story.html?hpid=z1
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« Reply #202 on: November 09, 2011, 07:15:47 am »
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Democrats successfully fended off the GOP advance in New Jersey. There's no change in the State Senate. In the State House, the GOP lost a seat -- Assemblyman DiCicco, a victim of redistricting.

On a county-by-county basis, Democrats did well. Democrats held their remaining Freeholder seats in Bergen, and picked up the County Clerk's seat. Dems easily held on in Passaic and Gloucester. Essex County's lone competitive Freeholder seat, that of District 4, stayed Democrat (albeit by ~250 votes).

It wasn't all bad for the GOP however. Republicans picked up a Freeholder seat in Burlington (completing their sweep of county government there). They also picked up a Freeholder seat in Salem, giving them control of that county's government for the first time in 10 years.
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« Reply #203 on: November 09, 2011, 07:56:58 am »
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So how would the Republicans probably have done under the old VA Senate lines, as there was some discussion of redistricting waiting until after the election?
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« Reply #204 on: November 09, 2011, 08:15:00 am »
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So how would the Republicans probably have done under the old VA Senate lines, as there was some discussion of redistricting waiting until after the election?

SD-17 and 20 would definitely have been lost, along with maybe SD-29 and SD-33.
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« Reply #205 on: November 09, 2011, 08:25:01 am »
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Here are the results so far:



So the part of MS 1st Cong district that voted for Travis Childers (D) went "yes" and the part that went for the GOP candidates went "no".. LOL Smiley
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« Reply #206 on: November 09, 2011, 09:21:08 am »
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Here are the results so far:



So the part of MS 1st Cong district that voted for Travis Childers (D) went "yes" and the part that went for the GOP candidates went "no".. LOL Smiley

And not surprising... Childers district was (and IS) mostly an extremely social conservative area (and Childers himself was so as well), while Republican areas are more (not all, but many) of "business conservative type with some social conservatism.."
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« Reply #207 on: November 09, 2011, 10:49:10 am »
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Wasn't even that close--58% No with 96% of precincts in!
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« Reply #208 on: November 09, 2011, 11:12:38 am »
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Farmer. Sad
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« Reply #209 on: November 09, 2011, 11:21:33 am »
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A few notes on the Ohio results.

Issue 2 failed as expected, but the Obama-care Issue 3 that was thrown in there passed with more votes than No on Issue 2. Smiley
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« Reply #210 on: November 09, 2011, 11:30:07 am »
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So is Jerry Lewis a RINO, or just a non-foaming Republican that Democrats tactically voted for?
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« Reply #211 on: November 09, 2011, 11:35:59 am »
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Update here:

It looks like the GOP has taken the Mississippi house taking complete control of the government. For some reason they haven't called a bunch of races with all the precincts in and 4%+ spreads. There is still 1 D seat that hasn't had a single vote get posted yet.


But the number looks like its going to be GOP +9 plus or minus 1. Since 7 was all that was needed to take defacto control of the house I'd say the GOP has pulled it off.

I'm very pleased with last nights results that's all I can say. The two things I wanted most were Virginia and Mississippi and I got them. Iowa was a let down.
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« Reply #212 on: November 09, 2011, 11:51:33 am »
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It doesn't look like there were any No on 26 coattails in Mississippi as Dupree went down to defeat, and GOP gained seats in legislature.  In 1948 when Massachusetts voted down a law to legalize birth control in a referendum, it was the Democrats and President Truman who benefitted with the big Catholic no vote.  Kind of ironic that Dewey and the GOP were hurt by the huge anti-birth control vote then in 1948, but the parties and issues are a little different in 2011 I guess.
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« Reply #213 on: November 09, 2011, 12:05:19 pm »
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So is Jerry Lewis a RINO, or just a non-foaming Republican that Democrats tactically voted for?

The latter.
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« Reply #214 on: November 09, 2011, 12:30:47 pm »
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It doesn't look like there were any No on 26 coattails in Mississippi as Dupree went down to defeat, and GOP gained seats in legislature.  In 1948 when Massachusetts voted down a law to legalize birth control in a referendum, it was the Democrats and President Truman who benefitted with the big Catholic no vote.  Kind of ironic that Dewey and the GOP were hurt by the huge anti-birth control vote then in 1948, but the parties and issues are a little different in 2011 I guess.

Dupree and almost every Democratic legislature candidate supported 26.
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« Reply #215 on: November 09, 2011, 12:33:43 pm »
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I believe the GOP took control of the Mississippi House with 62 seats in the bag, with one (District 3) up in the air, but last time when the Dem won 3-2, Alcorn County, which is not counted yet per AP, was carried by the Dem by about 250 votes, and with Arnold, the Pubbie, leading in Prentiss, which he lost last time by close to 3-2, he almost certainly will hold on and win, giving the GOP 63 seats per my count. In the other two seats out per the AP, I went to other sources for the results.  The local press states that the Dems won District 2 in Corninth (which has no votes shown on the AP).  The other seat the AP has out is District 83, where the Pubbie Snowden was leading, but his website has him claiming victory with 52%.
« Last Edit: November 09, 2011, 01:14:21 pm by Torie »Logged
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« Reply #216 on: November 09, 2011, 12:38:37 pm »
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Torie you seem to have looked up the previous numbers from Alcorn county. Are we to expect anything remotely close in District 2(nothing reporting yet)?
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« Reply #217 on: November 09, 2011, 12:42:59 pm »
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Torie you seem to have looked up the previous numbers from Alcorn county. Are we to expect anything remotely close in District 2(nothing reporting yet)?

The Dem won, and Chip Wood the Pubbie lost, per the Corinth newspaper, so assuming, as is almost certainly the case, that the Pubbie Arnold won district 3, that gives the GOP 63 seats overall.
« Last Edit: November 09, 2011, 01:13:20 pm by Torie »Logged
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« Reply #218 on: November 09, 2011, 01:17:30 pm »
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I think there's something very wrong in one of the Spotsylvania precincts - Riverbend. It only has 8 total votes counted for the State Senate race but in the county races in the same precinct there are more than 1000 votes.

It looks like a pretty Republican precinct though so I'm not sure it'll help.
« Last Edit: November 09, 2011, 01:19:19 pm by Meeker »Logged
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« Reply #219 on: November 09, 2011, 01:22:07 pm »
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It doesn't look like there were any No on 26 coattails in Mississippi as Dupree went down to defeat, and GOP gained seats in legislature.  In 1948 when Massachusetts voted down a law to legalize birth control in a referendum, it was the Democrats and President Truman who benefitted with the big Catholic no vote.  Kind of ironic that Dewey and the GOP were hurt by the huge anti-birth control vote then in 1948, but the parties and issues are a little different in 2011 I guess.

Dupree and almost every Democratic legislature candidate supported 26.
Which is hilarious in retrospect. Hindsight being 20/20, perhaps they could have benefitted by campaigning against it on an anti-big gov't angle. Also, what kind of birth control was available in 1948. I thought the pill wasn't invented until about 10 years later.
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« Reply #220 on: November 09, 2011, 01:49:37 pm »
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Quote
I think there's something very wrong in one of the Spotsylvania precincts - Riverbend. It only has 8 total votes counted for the State Senate race but in the county races in the same precinct there are more than 1000 votes.

It looks like a pretty Republican precinct though so I'm not sure it'll help.

If anything this will push Reeves margin up well outside of a recount range.

In 2006, Allen got 66% in this precinct.

In 2008, McCain got 63%

In 2009, McDonnell got 73%

And in 2007, Republican Chris J. Yakabouski split the precinct nearly 50-50 against Houck while losing Spotsylvania County as a whole 46%-54%

So the Precinct is more Republican than the County at large, which is already massively Republican to begin with.
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« Reply #221 on: November 09, 2011, 01:54:28 pm »
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It doesn't look like there were any No on 26 coattails in Mississippi as Dupree went down to defeat, and GOP gained seats in legislature.  In 1948 when Massachusetts voted down a law to legalize birth control in a referendum, it was the Democrats and President Truman who benefitted with the big Catholic no vote.  Kind of ironic that Dewey and the GOP were hurt by the huge anti-birth control vote then in 1948, but the parties and issues are a little different in 2011 I guess.

Dupree and almost every Democratic legislature candidate supported 26.
Which is hilarious in retrospect. Hindsight being 20/20, perhaps they could have benefitted by campaigning against it on an anti-big gov't angle. Also, what kind of birth control was available in 1948. I thought the pill wasn't invented until about 10 years later.
Condoms, diaphragms.
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« Reply #222 on: November 09, 2011, 02:13:47 pm »
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The GOP has the VA Senate.
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« Reply #223 on: November 09, 2011, 02:23:00 pm »
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I think there's something very wrong in one of the Spotsylvania precincts - Riverbend. It only has 8 total votes counted for the State Senate race but in the county races in the same precinct there are more than 1000 votes.

It looks like a pretty Republican precinct though so I'm not sure it'll help.

Meeker the rest of Riverbend is in another state senate district. The Dems didn't want this precinct in District 17 because it went about 2-1 McCain (called Grange Hall then).  So that is your answer. The Pubs will get their VA CD gerrymander. Smiley

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« Reply #224 on: November 09, 2011, 03:25:24 pm »
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Ah, thanks Torie.
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