2011 Election Results Thread

[rbt48]

I made a quick count of the Mississippi State Senate based on preliminary results.  It looks like 29R, 23D or 30R, 22D.  I'm too lazy to count up the seats in the 122 House districts to see if the GOP picked up the 8 needed for a majority.

[rbt48]

I just went to the AP results page http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/MS_Page_1108.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS and did the grunt work of counting up the leaders or winners for all 62 districts.  The actual final result will probably be a little different.

[rbt48]

The AP page has Houck up by 204 votes:
Total    62/62   Reeves, 22,391  50%   Houck, 22,595  50

while the VA SOS site has Reeves with 22,536 and Houck with 22,450.  Also 70 write-in votes.

If Reeves does win, the Senate would be tied 20-20.

[rbt48]

I've posted my latest State Legislature breakout at http://members.cox.net/rbt48/weather/Presidential_Elections/2011_State_Legislatures_post_election.pdf and I'm showing the Mississippi House at 62R, 60D.  I suppose it could end up a 61 - 61 tie, but we'll see how the final two races end up. 

[rbt48]

Aggregate vote totals.

The GOP Senate candidates appear to have gotten:

Fairfax: 44%
Prince William: 51%
Loudoun: 53%.

McDonnell got.

Fairfax: 51%
Prince William: 58%
Loudoun: 61%

So about 7% slippage.

I suppose this is positive news for the Obama campaign regarding his chances to carry Virginia in 2012.  Slightly off topic, I'd be curious to see the total party vote compilation for all for all 40 State Senate races.  I realize that because of the many uncontested races, the totals wouldn't tell the whole story, but it is just mind boggling that the House can be > 2 to 1 GOP and the Senate is 50-50.  Perhaps it is a stellar example of what can be accomplished through a high quality Gerrymander.

[rbt48]

Aggregate vote totals.

The GOP Senate candidates appear to have gotten:

Fairfax: 44%
Prince William: 51%
Loudoun: 53%.

McDonnell got.

Fairfax: 51%
Prince William: 58%
Loudoun: 61%

So about 7% slippage.

I suppose this is positive news for the Obama campaign regarding his chances to carry Virginia in 2012.  Slightly off topic, I'd be curious to see the total party vote compilation for all for all 40 State Senate races.  I realize that because of the many uncontested races, the totals wouldn't tell the whole story, but it is just mind boggling that the House can be > 2 to 1 GOP and the Senate is 50-50.  Perhaps it is a stellar example of what can be accomplished through a high quality Gerrymander.

See also: The New York state legislature. When there are two competing gerrymanders (in VA, a Republican gerrymander in the House and a [rather ineffective] Democratic one in the Senate), you can get very disparate results.

I do agree.  But aside from New York and Virginia, there are no other states with as dramatic a disparity in the partisan breakout of the two state houses.  In most states, the percentage of seats held by the respective parties in the upper and lower houses are quite close to eachother.

[rbt48]

OT:  I have dear friends who adore Tom Kean, Jr.

Democrats got about 420,000 votes in the State Senate races versus 661,000 for the Republicans (39% to 61%).

In other words, the Democrats had a very good map.

ETA: This is slightly misleading because far more Republican incumbents had no opponents than Democratic incumbents, but still.

Amazing.  But also adding to the disparity is the very low turnout in many Democratic (and minority) unopposed districts as compared with the turnout in Republican unopposed districts.  But still ...

I have to wonder what the party vote totals would be in the House of Delegates races.