MN: St. Cloud State University: Romney comes closest to Obama

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Minnesota President by St. Cloud State University on 2011-11-11

Summary: D: 45%, R: 39%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

...

45-39 Obama/Romney
47-36 Obama/Cain
53-25 Obama/Bachmann

[Tender Branson]

Looks like they copied the SurveyUSA numbers ...

[The_Texas_Libertarian]

lol @ Bachmann again

[CARLHAYDEN]

New Poll: Minnesota President by St. Cloud State University on 2011-11-11

Summary: D: 45%, R: 39%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

...

45-39 Obama/Romney
47-36 Obama/Cain
53-25 Obama/Bachmann

Interesting,

Lets compare those numbers for Obama/Romney to the actual 2008 Obama McCain numbers.

2008                    Poll                    Ratio          Party

54.06                    45                     1.20          Democrat

43.82                    39                     1.12          Republican

So, if the polls are accurate, this would tend to indicate a close election nationwide.

[Minnesota Mike]

lol @ Bachmann again

The funniest part of the poll is there "feeling thermometer" question where people/institutions are ranked 1-100. Bachmann received the lowest score, behind OWS, The tea party and Wall Street.

BTW SCSU does not have a a very good record when it comes to polling, So take there numbers with a grain of salt.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

I have a feeling that the feeling thermometer is a terrible method.

[tmthforu94]

Well, unless these two Minnesota polls are way off, Romney's not doing so bad in Minnesota. Probably won't win it, but it's still nice to see.

[Minnesota Mike]

Well, unless these two Minnesota polls are way off, Romney's not doing so bad in Minnesota. Probably won't win it, but it's still nice to see.

Obama's lead over Romney in Minnesota is about halfway between Kerry's Margin in 04 (+3) and Obama's in 08 (+10).  That sounds about right to me as I think that is probably where the national race is to.

[ilikeverin]

Well, unless these two Minnesota polls are way off, Romney's not doing so bad in Minnesota. Probably won't win it, but it's still nice to see.

It's not surprising.  Of the Republican candidates, RomneyBot is well-designed for wealthier/more educated people (no populist rhetoric there!), which Minnesota is full of.

[Torie]

Well, unless these two Minnesota polls are way off, Romney's not doing so bad in Minnesota. Probably won't win it, but it's still nice to see.

Obama's lead over Romney in Minnesota is about halfway between Kerry's Margin in 04 (+3) and Obama's in 08 (+10).  That sounds about right to me as I think that is probably where the national race is to.

Yes, that implies if the swing is uniform, about a dead even race nationwide. The danger for Obama is that 45% number. It is really generally true, and more true the closer to the election it gets, that the upside for the incumbent is not that much.  The bulk of the undecideds go to the challenger. Granted, this is a weird year.