Civil War in Syria

[Tender Branson]

Daraa offensive about to start:

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-44563769

The Assad forces are now advancing, also with Russian air support - while the US is abandoning the so-called "rebels":

"Syria pounds rebel areas in south, thousands flee to border zone."

"You're on your own, US tells Syrian rebels, as Assad goes on offensive."

[Kingpoleon]

Once again, the free world has failed to protect Syria, just as we failed to protect Ukraine, Georgia, Kurdistan, Libya, Egypt, and so many more.

[Tender Branson]

The Daraa offensive is progressing quickly, with the Assad army gaining ground from the so-called [Islamo-Fascist] "rebels" and the remaining IS pocket near the Golan:

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https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20180626-assad-forces-seize-opposition-territory-in-south-syria/

[ingemann]

Once again, the free world has failed to protect Syria, just as we failed to protect Ukraine, Georgia, Kurdistan, Libya, Egypt, and so many more.

Hillary Clinton would have.

Yes which was a pretty good argument in favour of Trump.

Iraq before the American intervention was home to several ancient religious communities, the Christian community are believed to have been reduced to 1/3 before the American intervention, while the Mandaeans have pretty much disappeared and their uprooted diaspora may disappear in our lifetime. A American intervention in Syria would have had worse results, as Gulf countries would support the worst possible version of Islam and USA would have givewn them a free reign, because for unknown reasons the American establishment are in love with the worst versions of Islam.

The Syrian people can thank God daily that it wasn't Clinton who won the American election.

[Sir Mohamed]

Once again, the free world has failed to protect Syria, just as we failed to protect Ukraine, Georgia, Kurdistan, Libya, Egypt, and so many more.

Hillary Clinton would have.

I'm not sure. A no-fly zone may have provoked Putin and lead to a broader military confrontation. Neither is or has been the removal of Assad a real option. Don't get me wrong, he's a terrible dictator, but if he was overthrown, we'd likely to see ISIS and other radicals taking over large portions of the country, with thousands of deaths, enslaving of women and many other cruel things.

[ingemann]

Once again, the free world has failed to protect Syria, just as we failed to protect Ukraine, Georgia, Kurdistan, Libya, Egypt, and so many more.

Hillary Clinton would have.

I'm not sure. A no-fly zone may have provoked Putin and lead to a broader military confrontation. Neither is or has been the removal of Assad a real option. Don't get me wrong, he's a terrible dictator, but if he was overthrown, we'd likely to see ISIS and other radicals taking over large portions of the country, with thousands of deaths, enslaving of women and many other cruel things.

I'm talking about back in 2012, at which time there was no ISIS, and the Free Syrian Army led the rebels. In 2017, she would have made some noises but ultimately done nothing significant, as is right.

The Free Syrian Army never existed at least not in the context you talk about, there was no ideological, political or military coherence, it was a random mix of bandits, tribal militias, Islamists, Al Qaeda and proto-ISIS with a few of the more acceptable groups representing them abroad.

The Siege of Aleppo as example began in 2012 with a rural btribal militias invading the city, the working class eastern suburbs rose up in support, while the western Sunni and Christian middle class city centre and suburbs stayed loyal, the "FSA" then looted the northern industrial areas from machinery, which was sold to across the border in Turkey. FSA in Aleppo stayed disunited and dominated by these tribal militias.

In Raqqa other tribal militias took also power before ISIS, here "FSA" established Jizya taxes on the local Christians (who when decided to leave, because they knew what way it was going) and in general established a reign of terror, which made the locals welcome ISIS as liberators, when they took power and stopped the random violence, plundering and murdering.

In the Idlib province Al Qaeda (Al Nusra/Tahrir al-Sham) was welcomed for similar reason, because they established weak state-like structures which "FSA" had "failed" to set up (in reality, there was no wish to set them up, as it would limit local "FSA" warlords ability to act as they pleased).

A American intervention in 2012 would have been disaster, it would have been Libya again, just with more genocide and slavery.

[Tender Branson]

The Eastern Daraa pocket (see map above) might soon be liberated from the so-called "rebels" (= Islamo-Fascist jihadists), because these so-called "rebels" are increasingly surrendering to the Syrian Army. Just today, "rebels" from about 10 major cities/towns in that area have surrendered themselves and their weapons to the Syrian army ...

Now on to the western pocket, near the Golan/Israel.

Also, according to the Syrian government/Ministry of Defense: The huge desert area held by IS in the east of Syria has been re-taken by the army.

[Tender Branson]

With Assad+Russia bombing the sh*t out of the remaining few "rebels" in Southern Syria, Putin+Trump will likely discuss the US Al-Tanf base on the border to Iraq/Jordan.

The US could leave the area, which would cement Assad and Putin's "victory" in Syria.

Only Idlib would remain as the last "rebel"-held part.

[Tender Branson]

The Syrian Army + Russians have reached the Nasib/Jordan border crossing on a major highway.

It means the eastern part of the Daraa pocket is now fully under government control.

[Tender Branson]

It seems the "rebels" in Daraa have just handed in their capitulation and agreed to surrender their weapons to Assad/Russia/Iran, with Russian military police then stationed in the province of Daraa.

Those "rebels" that do not want to live under the Assad-rule there will be transported to Idlib in North Syria.

https://twitter.com/aawsat_eng/status/1015214203920056320

https://twitter.com/aawsat_eng/status/1015212833993261056

https://twitter.com/aawsat_eng/status/1015213131923120128

[Tender Branson]

What do you think will be the next step in Syria ?

Assad going after Idlib ? Will he try to kick the Turks out ?

[CatoMinor]

What do you think will be the next step in Syria ?

Assad going after Idlib ? Will he try to kick the Turks out ?

I think something more low key like that small pocket on the Iraq/Jordan border.

[Tender Branson]

What do you think will be the next step in Syria ?

Assad going after Idlib ? Will he try to kick the Turks out ?

I think something more low key like that small pocket on the Iraq/Jordan border.

That's only the desert area around the Al-Tanf military base from the US.

I don't think the Syrian Army is advancing there without a deal with Russia ... (but this could happen during Trump/Putin's Helsinki summit).

Meanwhile, the Syrian Army is advancing closer to the Golan Heights (Isreali border).

[Tender Branson]

The Assad Army has made huge gains today (the city of Daraa was fully liberated from the "rebels").

Only a tiny piece of land near the Golan remains (which will be cleared in the next few days I assume). And that nasty small IS pocket there.

The Kurds are also clearing some of the desert area from IS near the Iraq border.

[Tender Branson]

The Assad Army is still making a lot of progress and has almost reached the Israeli border fence today.

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https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/07/syrian-government-seizes-strategic-hill-overlooking-golan-heights-180717071515549.html

Plus: several hundreds of Syrian refugees wanted to pass into Israel (Golan).

But the Israeli soldiers didn't let them in ...

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https://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-5311566,00.html

[dead0man]

The Assad Army is still making a lot of progress and has almost reached the Israeli border fence today.

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https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/07/syrian-government-seizes-strategic-hill-overlooking-golan-heights-180717071515549.html

Plus: several hundreds of Syrian refugees wanted to pass into Israel (Golan).

But the Israeli soldiers didn't let them in ...

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https://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-5311566,00.html

They had let 4000 in for medical care since the war started

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[Tender Branson]

The "rebels" in the largest remaining city in Daraa province (= Nawa, 100k people) have surrendered today after heavy overnight bombardment by the Assad Army, who have now entered the city.

That means that virtually all of Daraa is now under control of the Assad army again.

Quneitra province is a very small strip near the Israeli-occupied Golan and will be quickly taken (because the UN observer force is there and basically no "rebels").

That only leaves the small IS-pocket there and the Russians have already started to bomb the largest town there today, Tasil.

https://syria.liveuamap.com

[Tender Branson]

The "rebels" in Quneitra province have surrendered:

http://www.euronews.com/2018/07/19/syrian-state-media-says-deal-reportedly-reached-over-quneitra

[CatoMinor]

The rebels now control Kafarya and Foua in the Idlib area. This looks like the first time the so called "Syrian Arab Army" has lost ground in a while. It probably wont be gone for long if the Idlib region goes down like Daraa and without Turkish involvement.

[Tender Branson]

Endgame in the South:

Russian jets launch massive attack on ISIS as Syrian troops prepare to storm southwest Daraa pocket

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https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/russian-jets-launch-massive-attack-on-isis-as-syrian-troops-prepare-to-storm-southwest-daraa

[Tender Branson]

While the Syrian Army now controls most of the border to Israel again on the Golan, the army also made significant gains tonight in the remaining small IS pocket there.

I assume that this pocket will be cleansed from the IS rats within a few weeks.

I then think the focus will shift on Idlib and North Aleppo provinces, which are the last remaining areas to be held by the so-called "rebels".

I think a massive "end-game-offensive" will start there in the fall or before Christmas, after which Assad and Putin will emerge victorious in the Syrian Civil War.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/jul/21/syria-idlib-putin-assad-winners-iran

[dead0man]

Israel transported 800 "White Helmets" (plus their families) from Syria to Jordan last night at the request of Europe and Canada/the US.

[dead0man]

Israel transported 800 "White Helmets" (plus their families) from Syria to Jordan last night at the request of Europe and Canada/the US.

in case you wanted a cite for that....Zionist Enemy Evacuates 800 Syria ‘White Helmets’ to Jordan

[CatoMinor]

You mean the so called "Israel" is transporting the so called "White Helmets" to the so called "Jordanians" [/Tender Branson]

[dead0man]

is this the kind of "thank you" a klan member gives the black guy that helped change his tire? freaking assholes