NH-UNH: Only Romney leads Obama
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 18, 2024, 11:48:30 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  NH-UNH: Only Romney leads Obama		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: NH-UNH: Only Romney leads Obama  (Read 1245 times)
Ben Romney
Hillary2012
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 395
Germany


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 23, 2011, 07:18:08 PM »
« edited: November 24, 2011, 05:45:09 AM by Tender Branson »
PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE (UNH)

Mitt Romney 47%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 44%

Gingrich trails the president by 12 points, and Perry falls short by 19 points.

http://www.wmur.com/new-hampshire-primary-extended-coverage/29846953/detail.html#ixzz1eZe0hpb6
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,458
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 23, 2011, 09:30:59 PM »
Good GE results for Obama.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 24, 2011, 05:44:21 AM »
Hillary, a 3-point lead for Romney is not "dominating".

"Dominating" is 10%+
Logged
Reaganfan
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,236
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 24, 2011, 08:27:54 AM »

Yeah, losing a state by 4 points that he carried by 11 points is DANDY!
Logged
memphis
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,959


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 24, 2011, 08:44:30 AM »
Quote from: Reaganfan on November 24, 2011, 08:27:54 AM

Yeah, losing a state by 4 points that he carried by 11 points is DANDY!
Willing to support Romney, then?
Logged
Reaganfan
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,236
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 24, 2011, 08:47:01 AM »
Quote from: memphis on November 24, 2011, 08:44:30 AM
Quote from: Reaganfan on November 24, 2011, 08:27:54 AM

Yeah, losing a state by 4 points that he carried by 11 points is DANDY!
Willing to support Romney, then?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 24, 2011, 09:30:35 AM »
So, Romney runs an Obama attack ad in NH and his lead drops from 10 points to 3 points.

Nice job, Mitt.
Logged
tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 24, 2011, 10:33:18 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on November 24, 2011, 09:30:35 AM
So, Romney runs an Obama attack ad in NH and his lead drops from 10 points to 3 points.

Nice job, Mitt.
This poll was conducted from the 15th through the 22nd, so over half of the respondents probably voted before it came out. And of the minority, a good majority probably hadn't seen it yet. I highly doubt his ad is the reason that one poll shows the race tighter.

If it was the same polling group and was conducted a week after the advertisement came out, I'd be tempted to agree with you.
Logged
The_Texas_Libertarian
TXMichael
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 825
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 24, 2011, 02:45:55 PM »
Even though it is "only" 4 electoral votes it could be an election cycle where that matters.  This will be a premiere toss-up state.   
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,858
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 24, 2011, 06:26:29 PM »
Quote from: Reaganfan on November 24, 2011, 08:27:54 AM

Yeah, losing a state by 4 points that he carried by 11 points is DANDY!

Favorite son effect. President Obama eviscerates everyone else in the state. Just take a look at how well Republicans are doing in Arizona against the President. None of the likely nominees has any connection to Arizona.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,458
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 25, 2011, 01:27:55 PM »
Quote from: Reaganfan on November 24, 2011, 08:27:54 AM

Yeah, losing a state by 4 points that he carried by 11 points is DANDY!

It is against someone who lives in and is currently campaigning in the state constantly. Also, Obama only carried it by 9.6% in 2008.
Logged
cavalcade
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 739


Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -3.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 29, 2011, 12:30:07 PM »
This is (relatively) good for Obama, though NH isn't really a good proxy for performance in any other swing states.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.039 seconds with 14 queries.