Could Clay Aiken have won in a "Democratic wave" year?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 24, 2024, 03:36:04 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Could Clay Aiken have won in a "Democratic wave" year?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Could Clay Aiken have won in a "Democratic wave" year?
#1
Yes.		  
#2
No.		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 43

Author Topic: Could Clay Aiken have won in a "Democratic wave" year?  (Read 1418 times)
solarstorm
solarstorm2012
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,637
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 08, 2014, 12:38:11 PM »
I'd like to see into his head to figure out if he really thought he'd stand a chance of winning against Ellmers.
Logged
tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2014, 12:44:09 PM »
The district is R+10, in North Carolina, and he's a Democrat best known for being incredibly gay. I'd say no.
Logged
Mister Mets
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,440
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 08, 2014, 04:27:08 PM »
It would have to be a hell of a wave.

Ellmers won by just under 18 points.
Logged
JRP1994
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,048


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 08, 2014, 04:41:51 PM »
A Lyndon Johnson-size wave, MAYBE.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 08, 2014, 04:50:24 PM »
You can't completely count out anything in a wave year (I mean, Louise f'ing Slaughter almost lost) but probably not.
Logged
Vega
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,253
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 08, 2014, 04:57:33 PM »
He could have come within like 3 points of winning.
Logged
KCDem
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,928


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 08, 2014, 05:20:54 PM »
No, Aiken was a terrible candidate. And he is a gay, so no chance in the South
Logged
TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,952
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 08, 2014, 07:17:15 PM »
Not in that seat he couldn't have. He could win seats that Generic D could win.
Logged
"'Oeps!' De blunders van Rick Perry Indicted"
DarthNader
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 483


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 08, 2014, 07:45:50 PM »
He couldn't even win on American Idol.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 08, 2014, 07:49:23 PM »
He would lose by 10 points even in a D-wave. This is what happens when a political party caters to bonehead celebrities.
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 08, 2014, 10:54:34 PM »
He could barely get through his own primary. He never had any chance against Ellmers, and even in a 2008 like climate he would have lost by at least 9 points.
Logged
solarstorm
solarstorm2012
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,637
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 09, 2014, 05:57:38 AM »
Quote from: KCDem on November 08, 2014, 05:20:54 PM
No, Aiken was a terrible candidate. And he is a gay, so no chance in the South

There is already a gay Republican Senator from the South. (But then again, he did underperform...)


But his is the only non-winner to have had a #1 hit (while the winner of his season had none).
Logged
Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,170
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 09, 2014, 10:54:44 AM »
No, the best he could have done was lose by single digits.
Logged
Bigby
Mod_Libertarian_GOPer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,164
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: 3.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: November 09, 2014, 11:30:10 PM »
If Clay Aiken won, I think the Federal Government would have forced the district out of the US. Seriously, Aiken was a joke candidate.
Logged
MarkUterus
Rookie
**
Posts: 21
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: November 10, 2014, 01:29:34 AM »
Ellmers is weak, but the Dems' only real base in that district is the Concentrated Area of Relocated Yankees. Cary just isn't big enough to carry the day for the Dems.
Logged
Vega
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,253
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 10, 2014, 05:57:09 AM »
Aiken had a TV show coming out of this whole thing, so I think he was fine winning or loosing.

Though, he can make more money since he lost, so he probably likes that more.
Logged
Recalcuate
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 444


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: November 10, 2014, 09:39:19 AM »
Clay Aiken is great at coming in second. American Idol. Celebrity Apprentice..... the House of Representatives....
Logged
King
intermoderate
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,356
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: November 10, 2014, 10:00:04 AM »
Aiken was a garbage candidate. He's everything wrong with Democrats.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.235 seconds with 14 queries.