Ranking the Senate Races.... (user search)
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  Ranking the Senate Races.... (search mode)
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Author Topic: Ranking the Senate Races....  (Read 14281 times)
RogueBeaver
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« on: July 03, 2012, 04:49:01 PM »

Berg probably wins due to coattails but it'll be a lot closer than it should be.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1 on: August 21, 2012, 02:03:26 PM »

Sabato has said on Twitter he's moving MO from Lean R to tossup. Jennifer Duffy of Cook said she's moving MO from Tossup to Likely D. Needless to say, Sabato's rating is more accurate.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #2 on: August 21, 2012, 02:14:56 PM »

He's usually very good, just an overreaction. After all we're still talking about an incumbent who's at 50/40 disapprove and stalled in the low 40s. Which won't matter if Akin is on the ballot come Nov. 6- just ask Harry Reid.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #3 on: August 21, 2012, 02:26:03 PM »

Yep. OH is teetering on the edge between Lean/Likely D, WI definitely Lean R. Which is why I much prefer Rothenberg and Sabato.

If MO gets thrown then VA/FL become the new Senate frontlines. 
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #4 on: August 21, 2012, 08:57:08 PM »

BTW, it appears Cook no longer has their ratings available for free. Which major rating systems, do?

As for Akin, perhaps as more publicity is made about his comments, his polling will go down even if it hasn't already.

Sabato and Rothenberg are free. A lot of Rothenberg's analysis isn't, but all Sabato's stuff is.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #5 on: January 27, 2013, 09:04:12 PM »

I'd only disagree with Arkansas, since Cotton is moving towards yes per some recent interviews of his. If he in fact says yes then that's a tossup.
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