The Utah Senate race is incredibly depressing; the candidate is good on paper (and in speeches), but it's Scott Howell, the guy who ran against Hatch in 2000 and who lost by 30 points. Hatch is just too entrenched, too wily, and Utah is much to ingrained into the attitude of electing Hatch to change. Governor Herbert is more vulnerable than Hatch, for crying out loud. I would bet that if any Utah Democratic fluke wins happen this year, it'll be in the Governor's seat, not the Senate.
Governor Herbert is popular though. He will still be hard to beat.
Well, of course. Herbert's very popular, and he's very savvy at being a Utah politician. I'm just saying that it's more likely that he loses than Hatch losing. Hatch hasn't spent $10 million dollars of Utah taxpayer money in a payoff to a construction company, for example. Hatch isn't the one who keeps underfunding Utah education so much that we're the worst in terms of per-pupil spending. It wasn't under Hatch's watch that a
fourth of everyone in the state had their medical info hacked in some way. Hatch isn't wasting the money of Utah taxpayers in a fruitless attempt to sue the Feds for control of state lands.
All these things and more happened under Herbert. I'm not saying that any of these scandals will sink Herbert, but they're more damaging and useful to the Democrat than a Hatch scandal. Herbert's still probably going to win against Peter Cooke, but at least he's got a chance. Against Hatch, no Democrat has a chance.