who will win - MA

[RogueBeaver]

Scott Brown.

[RogueBeaver]

Brown if current trend hold. He's still relatively well liked by the people of Mass and hasn't done much to piss the electorate off.

Also Warren is vastly overrated by the Dem hacks on here.

Yep, she's (O-MA).

[RogueBeaver]

YouGov is garbage according to Silver- they make Ras look like Gallup. I'd wait for a PPP or UMass poll myself.

[RogueBeaver]

The YouGov poll was also a UMass poll.

I'd say that this race is somewhere between Tilt and Lean D right now, all things considered, but who knows what might change.

It was done in coordination with YouGov, so forgive me for being doubtful. Brown would have needed an oops moment to drop 8 points in a month, and as Sabato said today both candidates are running largely flawless campaigns.

[RogueBeaver]

Hmm... trial run it, see what happens. Wall St. is a "pox on both your houses" narrative IMO. Brown gets campaign contributions, dances the tightrope on financial regulatory votes. Warren is the self-proclaimed Occupy godmother, but was involved with TARP. Right now I'm not convinced either side will benefit from that narrative.