Daily Gallup GOP Tracking Poll Thread

[Alcon]

Romney 35% (+2)
Gingrich 24% (-1)
Santorum 16%
Paul 12% (+1)

Probably a measure of momentum.

NONE OF THE THINGS YOU SAY ACTUALLY MEAN THINGS.

[Alcon]

Romney 35% (+2)
Gingrich 24% (-1)
Santorum 16%
Paul 12% (+1)

Probably a measure of momentum.

NONE OF THE THINGS YOU SAY ACTUALLY MEAN THINGS.

Alcon, the rise in Romney's numbers is probably a reaction to his win in Florida, his momentum from winning that state.  This effect has been around since before you were born.

The concept of momentum has not been around since before I was born.  It was invented in 1991.

[Alcon]

This is a genuine surprise to me - yeah, Santorum has surged, but I was expecting him to easily pass Romney and lead by 10 points or so.

I'm very glad this race is coming down to these two - I've now determined none of them will beat Obama, but Romney will at least make it a race and help Republicans downballot. We'd be at risk to losing the House if Santorum or Gingrich were nominated.

You don't win elections by conceding them nine months from election day.

You don't win elections based on things posted on election forums either.

[Alcon]

Five of those polls had Romney over +20 on Santorum.  Good lord, J. J.

[Alcon]

7/7/2011, Mason-Dixon: Romney 29%, Santorum 6% (-23%)
8/4/2011, Rasmussen: Romney 21%, Santorum 0% (-21%)
10/5/2011, Marist: Romney 26%, Santorum 3% (-23%)
10/19/2011, University of Iowa: Romney 27%, Santorum 3% (-24%)
10/25/2011, CNN/Time: Romney 24%, Santorum 2% (-22%)

Romney also led two of these polls.

[Alcon]

haha J. J.

The two polls with Romney leads were in October, well after the Bachmann surge.

Your claim again, was:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

But, really, keep digging this hole, it's fantastic.

[Alcon]

haha J. J.

The two polls with Romney leads were in October, well after the Bachmann surge.

Your claim again, was:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

But, really, keep digging this hole, it's fantastic.

I missed those two and was looking at the end.  Somebody was jumping up, I thought it was Bachman.  

By Bachman, you mean Bachmann.

By two, you mean five.

By "Somebody was jumping up, I thought it was Bachman," you mean, "man, I really made myself look like a grade-A schmuck."

[Alcon]

haha J. J.

The two polls with Romney leads were in October, well after the Bachmann surge.

Your claim again, was:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

But, really, keep digging this hole, it's fantastic.

I missed those two and was looking at the end.  Somebody was jumping up, I thought it was Bachman.  

By Bachman, you mean Bachmann.

By two, you mean five.

By "Somebody was jumping up, I thought it was Bachman," you mean, "man, I really made myself look like a grade-A schmuck."

It looks like Bachmann.  No, by two, I mean two in October.

Now, If you want believe Santorum can, through good campaigning, jump up 20 points, which is what Lyndon was claim, feel free to believe it.

"It looks like Bachmann"?  you make so little sense

You evidently missed all five of the Romney +20 over Santorum polls, or you bizarrely think that behind "behind" someone requires that other person being ahead of all others.

Either way, you're ridiculous.

[Alcon]

"It looks like Bachmann"?  you make so little sense

The colors on the graph, Alcon.  On my monitor, they are the same for Bachmann and possibly Cain.  I can't tell, because one of the lines is not labeled. The peak on 10/17 is the same color as the Bachmann lines (though I think she was fading at that point).

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012R/polls.php?fips=19

You must be logged in to read this quote.

If you think as Lyndon thought, that Santorum increasing, while Romney increased, in IA, marks his good campaign skill relative to Romney, be my guest.

Cain and Bachmann are the same colors.  Bachmann/Cainm, Santorum, and Romney are all totally different colors.  How would Cain/Bachmann distract you into thinking Romney is less than 20% ahead of Santorum?