Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
January 22, 2020, 05:52:23 am
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (General) are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  General Politics
  Political Geography & Demographics (Moderator: muon2)
  Political Breakdown of Arkansas and Missouri
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: Political Breakdown of Arkansas and Missouri  (Read 1701 times)
phk
phknrocket1k
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12,910


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -1.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: January 07, 2005, 03:13:53 pm »

Could anybody give me a rough political breakdown of Missouri and Arkansas
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 62,878
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: January 07, 2005, 05:00:45 pm »

Rough, eh?

Arkansas

North: Populist Democratic (mostly Yellow Dog) area
South: See above. Bubba's home turf. Larger Black population than North.
Delta: Populist Democratic. Mostly (though far from exclusivly) Black.
North West: Republican (big Religious Right element, btw) with the exception of Fayetteville and the small Arkansas coalfield (both of which lean Democratic).
Little Rock Metro: Little Rock is solidly Democratic, the suburbs are (for the most part) typical lily white sunbelt GOP strongholds.

Arkansas is a fundamentally Democratic state and the AR GOP only has a machine in the NW and the Little Rock 'burbs.
Logged
nick
nickshepDEM
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,910


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: January 07, 2005, 05:04:55 pm »

Rough, eh?

Arkansas

North: Populist Democratic (mostly Yellow Dog) area
South: See above. Bubba's home turf. Larger Black population than North.
Delta: Populist Democratic. Mostly (though far from exclusivly) Black.
North West: Republican (big Religious Right element, btw) with the exception of Fayetteville and the small Arkansas coalfield (both of which lean Democratic).
Little Rock Metro: Little Rock is solidly Democratic, the suburbs are (for the most part) typical lily white sunbelt GOP strongholds.

Arkansas is a fundamentally Democratic state and the AR GOP only has a machine in the NW and the Little Rock 'burbs.

Then why has it gone Republican for the last 3 elections?
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 62,878
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: January 07, 2005, 05:09:38 pm »

Then why has it gone Republican for the last 3 elections?

You mean Presidential elections? It hasn't... Bubba won it in 96.

Presidential voting patterns don't usually reflect Partisan alignments all that well (example: 57% of Kentucky voters are Democrats) and Arkansas is a socially conservative state (as I've indicated).
Logged
J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 32,907
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: January 07, 2005, 05:42:49 pm »

Arkansas was one of the lowest margin southern Carter states in 1976, I think.  Ford almost carried it.

It has only gone Democrat when the "favorite son" was running since then.  It seems to be a lot like Georgia.
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 62,878
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: January 07, 2005, 05:43:56 pm »

Arkansas was one of the lowest margin southern Carter states in 1976, I think.  Ford almost carried it.

It has only gone Democrat when the "favorite son" was running since then.  It seems to be a lot like Georgia.

You're thinking of Mississippi: Carter cracked 60% in Arkansas
Logged
phk
phknrocket1k
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12,910


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -1.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: January 07, 2005, 08:22:25 pm »

What about Missouri, Dems control St. Louis and Kansas City the rest is GOP country or is it much more complex?
Logged
When we run out of hydrogen we become supernovas
BRTD
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 88,413
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: January 07, 2005, 09:20:25 pm »

Columbia (college town) also is pretty Democratic, opebo probably knows more.
Logged
opebo
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 47,053


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: January 08, 2005, 01:39:41 pm »
« Edited: January 09, 2005, 11:17:14 am by opebo »

What about Missouri, Dems control St. Louis and Kansas City the rest is GOP country or is it much more complex?

It isn't very complex anymore.. it may have been at one time.  St Louis City and Kansas City are very Democratic - about 75%.  The inner suburbs - where there are some blacks and lots of affluent and well educated people, lean pretty strongly Democratic.  The exurbs are of course majority GOP, and the rural areas are pure Religious Right - Jesus signs in the yard of almost every shack.

Missouri used to be about 50/50.. now I'd say it is 54/46 GOP, based mostly on 'cultural issues' like religion, and hatred of groups like blacks, gays, the non-religious or the well educated.  I don't think economic issues play very big outside the cities, as the middle class disappeared a long time ago - I don't think most younger Missourians remember it. 

There's a very strong paradigm of seeing everything as two classes - winner/loser, rich/flunkey, etc.  This actually plays into voting GOP, because a lot of people see the GOP and the social darwinism philosophy it represents as the side a winner would choose.  They see the Democrats as the losers, and a party for losers.  It is very funny, but Missouri is a very typical state - an economic backwater in decline, most people becoming less well off - but they're too vain to admit it, so they vote for the 'winners' in order to pretend they're winners.  Fascinating psychology..
Logged
J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 32,907
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: January 08, 2005, 01:57:01 pm »

Arkansas was one of the lowest margin southern Carter states in 1976, I think.  Ford almost carried it.

It has only gone Democrat when the "favorite son" was running since then.  It seems to be a lot like Georgia.

You're thinking of Mississippi: Carter cracked 60% in Arkansas

Actually, I was thinking of MO.
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 62,878
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: January 08, 2005, 01:58:29 pm »

Arkansas was one of the lowest margin southern Carter states in 1976, I think.  Ford almost carried it.

It has only gone Democrat when the "favorite son" was running since then.  It seems to be a lot like Georgia.

You're thinking of Mississippi: Carter cracked 60% in Arkansas

Actually, I was thinking of MO.

Either way it began with an "M" ;-)
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC