Greece 2012

[Silent Hunter]

That's not going to produce a pro-bailout majority, is it?

[Silent Hunter]

That's not going to produce a pro-bailout majority, is it?

It might if ND gets the 1st place bonus.

Operative word at the moment being "if".

[Silent Hunter]

This should be fun...

Unless you're a trader tomorrow morning.

[Silent Hunter]

Quick calculation that may be wildly wrong, using midpoints of the exit polls:

ND c.122 (with 50 seat bonus)
Syriza c.71
PASOK c.28
Ind Greeks c. 19
Golden Dawn c.19

122+28=150, so an ND+PASOK coalition would scrape an overall majority with the 50 extra seats, but they'd need Democratic Left to make it work.

[Silent Hunter]

Folks might want the English language version - no offence intended, Lewis

[Silent Hunter]

Looks like my prediction was almost correct, based on the exit polls.

Don't think that there will be enough seats for a ND-PASOK government though.

ND-PASOK-DL could swing it, but only if ND win.

[Silent Hunter]

Click on election districts on the Greek election site and you can see who is currently leading in each one.

[Silent Hunter]

Numbers seem to come in and with about 15% in in a few districts, it seems ND is gaining the most.

Seem to be leading in most election districts, but there's nowhere more than 50%.

[Silent Hunter]

I assume Athinon is Athens - both districts there are well out.

[Silent Hunter]

I assume Athinon is Athens - both districts there are well out.

Athinon A is the city of Athens proper. Athinon B is most of her inner and middle suburbs. That's by far the largest constituency in Greece, and is further left on balance than the city proper. Piraeus A is that suburban city plus the lesser Saronic islands and Kythera and the bit of the Peloponnese that are included in Attica for reasons unknown. Piraeus B are the very working class, very lefty portside suburbs west of Piraeus, including Salamis (the most populated of the Saronic islands). Attica are the outer suburban and quasi-rural parts of Attica.

B being V on the site, correct?

[Silent Hunter]

Why is this site showing the district results but not the national results ?

District results aren't finalised yet, so they're not showing any national ones.

[Silent Hunter]

I assume Athinon is Athens - both districts there are well out.

Athinon A is the city of Athens proper. Athinon B is most of her inner and middle suburbs. That's by far the largest constituency in Greece, and is further left on balance than the city proper. Piraeus A is that suburban city plus the lesser Saronic islands and Kythera and the bit of the Peloponnese that are included in Attica for reasons unknown. Piraeus B are the very working class, very lefty portside suburbs west of Piraeus, including Salamis (the most populated of the Saronic islands). Attica are the outer suburban and quasi-rural parts of Attica.

B being V on the site, correct?

Yes, of course. V being the modern (past 1800? years) pronunciation of the second letter of the Greek alphabet.

Thanks for both of those.

[Silent Hunter]

Official government projection - 29.6% ND, 27.1% Syriza.

[Silent Hunter]

If this woman is reflecting PASOK's actual views, my guess is that the party is considering that any coalition with ND is going to damage it very badly electorally for a clear decade - and give Syriza a chance at a majority at the 2016 elections - because the bailout if it continues will hurt their working-class voters (of course, so too would a default).

[Silent Hunter]

PASOK's leader has said that Syriza should be in any coalition - BBC.