NM: Public Policy Polling: Obama easily cruises over all Republicans, Johnson strong as Lib

[TheGlobalizer]

Dont know why some still call NM a swing state. Demographics have moved it to at least a lean D.

Agree that it's lean D but I wouldn't pull it out of the swing state category.  Susana Martinez is a thoroughly conservative governor and is relatively popular.  If the GOP can put forward a candidate that is rational on immigration reform, NM is in play.  If that and a Hispanic on the ticket, it's probably slight R.

[TheGlobalizer]

One of my big beefs with PPP's ethnicity questions is that is forces a choice between white and hispanic.  Not always an easy choice for New Mexicans, who are often very much both.  Probably a fair bit of noise in there.

Rubio could move the needle here but not a ton.

[TheGlobalizer]

Impressive numbers for Johnson! They would probably drop significantly come election day, but I could see him doing relatively well in the West, particularly if Romney isn't the Republican.

It's his home state. Everybody gets a boost in their home state.

And he's well liked/remembered here.  I don't particularly think he's viable as indy/LP, but in these hypos I'd vote for him.