IA PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Paul actually takes the lead

[tmthforu94]

A Paul and Romney top 2 will virtually guarentee a Romney victory in this primary. Gingrich...the Giuliani of 2008. His national lead just started a few months later.

[tmthforu94]

At this point, Gingrich isn't going to win Iowa. Its down to the ground game now, and he is far behind the others. This is a win-win for Romney - he wins Iowa, he has the nomination. If he loses to another, that candidate and Gingrich will likely split up the vote in SC. Unless there is a shakeup soon, i dont see a good path for a Gingrich victory without Iowa, and who exactly would be left to try and challenge Mitt??

This will be interesting.