IA PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Paul actually takes the lead

[RI]

New Poll: Iowa President by Public Policy Polling on 2011-12-18

Summary:

Paul:	23%
Romney:	20%
Gingrich:	14%
Bachmann:	10%
Perry:	10%
Santorum:	10%
Other:	6%
Undecided:	7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[RI]

It has actually happened. Gingrich is in free fall, and Santorum is on the way up too.

[RI]

I'm calling it now: a Santorum surge. He's been barnstorming the state, has a great ground game and has been winning the endorsements of prominent evangelical leaders. I'd assert that his numbers are underestimated in the polls.

I think that's about their only option left. I can't believe that the evangelicals would just roll over for Romney or Paul.

[RI]

Before this thread is submerged in a deluge of gleeful Paulites, it should be noted that he only gained a mere two points.

The real story is obviously the Gingrich collapse. Haha, Newt Gingrich.

Yeah, going off of PPP's crosstabs, Paul doesn't have much room for growth. His hard ceiling in Iowa appears to be somewhere between 25%-30%. He just isn't that popular among Gingrich supporters to get much of a bounce.