Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 25, 2019, 01:44:05 pm
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Tender Branson's General Election Maps
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 Print
Author Topic: Tender Branson's General Election Maps  (Read 31864 times)
Worried Italian Progressive
italian-boy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,622
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: February 13, 2012, 06:51:00 am »

Shouldn't you consider Nebraska's 3 CD's as well?
Logged
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,518
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: February 13, 2012, 01:06:39 pm »

Shouldn't you consider Nebraska's 3 CD's as well?

I did; they just don't show.

Reapportionment has put both NE-01 and NE-02 in play, this time with NE-01 more likely to go for the President but still a likely R win. NE-03 (central and western Nebraska) is one of the most R-leaning districts in the US and would likely still go R in an Obama blowout reminiscent of Nixon 1972 or Reagan 1984.
Logged
Solidarity Forever
Alfred F. Jones
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,828
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: February 19, 2012, 12:02:35 pm »

Are we going to give IN and IA to Romney?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 49,130
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: February 23, 2012, 09:25:10 am »

Here's the latest Obama vs. Romney map:

Img


MO is a complete tie and IN was still not polled

Lighter shades indicate states that have not been polled recently, but which are certain to go for either candidate.
Logged
Secret Cavern Survivor
Antonio V
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 49,989
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: March 04, 2012, 09:25:25 am »

Why did you abandon the Atlas map ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 49,130
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #30 on: March 04, 2012, 09:30:35 am »

Why did you abandon the Atlas map ?

Just wanted to do something with the Paint ... Wink
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 49,130
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #31 on: March 27, 2012, 08:50:51 am »

Update:

Img
Logged
Ben Romney
Hillary2012
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 395
Germany


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #32 on: March 27, 2012, 04:30:31 pm »

Here`s my weekly electoral map:

GOP Primary: National: Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum are the frontrunners now!

Romney:38.4% Santorum:27.2% Gingrich:13.2% Paul:12.0%

Romney :AK AZ CA CT FL HI ID IL MA MD ME MI NH NJ NV NY OH OR RI SD UT VA VT WA WY

Gingrich:GA KY MT NE NM SC WV

Santorum:AL CO IA IN LA MN MO MS NC ND OK PA TN TX WI

IA Caucus: Jan.3:
RS24.6% MR24.5% RP21.5% NG13.3% RP010.3% MB05.0% JH00.6%   25 Delegates
NH Primary: Jan.10:
MR39.3% RP22.9% JH16.9% NG09.4% RS09.4% RP00.7%    12 Delegates
SC Primary: Jan.21: NG40.4% MR27.9% RS17.0% RP13.0%    25 Delegates
FL Primary: Jan.31: MR46.4% NG31.9% RS13.3% RP07.0%    50 Delegates
NV Primary: Feb.04:   MR50.0% NG21.1% RP18.7% RS09.9%    28 Delegates
ME Primary: Feb.04-11: MR:39.2% RP:35.7% RS17.7% NG:06.3% 24 Delegates   
Co Caucus: Feb.07:   RS40.2% MR:34.9% NG:12.8% RP:11.8%    36 Delegates
MN Primary: Feb.07:   RS44.8% RP27.2% MR16.9% NG10.7% 40 Delegates   
MO Primary: Feb.07:   RS55.2% MR25.3% RP12.2%    00 Delegates
AZ Primary: Feb.28:   MR47.3% RS26.6% NG16.2% RP08.5%    29 Delegates
MI Primary: Feb.28:   MR41.1% RS37.9% RP11.6% NG06.5% 30 Delegates
WY Caucus: Feb.29:   MR39.0%   RS31.9% RP20.8% NG07.8%    29 Delegates   
WA Caucus: Mar.3:   MR37.6% RP24.8% RS23.8% NG10.3%    43Delegates
AK Caucus: Mar.6:   MR32.6% RS29% RP24.0% NG14.2%    27 Delegates
GA Primary: Mar.6:   NG47.2% MR25.9% RS19.6% RP:06.5%    76 Delegates
ID Caucus: Mar.6:   MR63.2% RP17.4% RS17.1% NG02.2%    32 Delegates
MA Primary: Mar.6:   MR:72.1% RP:12.1% RS09.6% NG:04.0%    41 Delegates
ND Caucus: Mar.6:   RS39.7% RP28.1% MR23.7% NG08.5%    28 Delegates
OH Primary: Mar.6:   MR38.4% RS37.4% NG14.8% RP09.4%    66 Delegates
OK Primary: Mar.6:   RS33.8% MR28.0% NG27.5% RP09.6%    43 Delegates
TN Primary: Mar.6:   RS37.2% MR28.0% NG24.0% RP09.1% 58 Delegates
VT Primary: Mar.6:   MR40.3% RP25.1% RS23.4% NG08.3%    17 Delegates
VA Primary: Mar.6:   MR59.5% RP40.5%    49 Delegates
KS Caucus: Mar.10:   RS:51.2 MR:20.9% NG:14.4 RP:12.6%    40 Delegates
NMI: Mar.10:    MR:87.3% RS:06.3% RP:03.3% NG:03.2%    09 Delegates
VI Caucus : Mar.10 :   MR:34.4% RP:29.2% RS:06.0% NG:04.7%    09 Delegates
Guam Caucus : Mar. 10: MR:100%    09 Delegates
AL Primary: Mar. 13:   RS:34.5% NG29.3% MR29.0% RP05.0%    50 Delegates
HI Caucus: Mar.13:   MR45.4% RS25.3% RP:18.3% NG11.0%    20 Delegates
MS Primary: Mar.13:    RS32.9% NG31.3% MR30.3% RP04.4%    40 Delegates
AS Caucus: Mar.13:   MR:100%    09 Delegates
PR Primary: Mar.18:
MR:82.9% RS:08.0% BR:02.2% NG:02.0% FK:01.7% RP:01.2%    23 Delegates
IL Primary: Mar.20:   MR:46.7% RS:35.0% RP:09.3% NG:07.9%    54Delegates

LA Primary: Mar.24:    RS49.0% MR:26.7% NG:15.9% RP:06.2%    20 Delegates
MD Primary: Apr.03:   no polls but Romney should win here    37 Delegates
DC Primary: Apr.03:   no polls    but Romney should win here    19 Delegates   
Wi Primary: Apr.03:   MR36.8% NG07.6% RP10.1% RS31.4%    42 Deelegates


Delegates:   
Mitt Romney:    564 + 32 +2 = 598
Ron Paul:    068 + 01 = 069
RickSantorum:    288 + 02 = 290
Newt Gingrich:    140    + 03 = 143


If the presidential election would be held today a Generic GOP candidate could get 323EV! President Obama could get 205EV! 10EV from MN are a toss-up! A candidate needs 270EV to get elected!

Mitt Romney    53.2%    45.0%   Barack Hussein Obama
Rick Santorum    51.4%    47.7%   Barack Hussein Obama
Newt Gingrich    45.3%    51.5%   Barack Hussein Obama
Ron Paul    47.6%    47.8%   Barack Hussein Obama

If its Mitt Romney against Obama it would be:
290 EV   218 EV   030 EV toss-up

If its Newt Gingrich against Obama it would be:
149 EV   389 EV   000 EV toss-up

If its Ron Paul against Obama it would be:
215 EV   221 EV   102 EV   toss-up

If its Rick Santorum against Obama it would be:
176 EV   216 EV   146 EV   toss-up

Senate:
2010:   GOP: 47    DEM: 51   IND: 02   
2012:   GOP: 52 DEM: 45 IND: 01 -1   Toss-up: 2
Takeover   GOP:    MO MT NE VA WI   
DEM:
Toss-up:   CT FL


Governor:
2010:   GOP: 29    DEM: 20   IND: 01   
2012:   GOP: 33 DEM: 16 IND: 01 Toss-up: 1
Takeover   GOP:    MT NC WA WV
DEM:
Toss-up:   IN


President: Approve/Disapprove

Strong approve Obama:
CA: (53.2/41.0)
DC (85.0/15.0)   
DE:(56.6/43.5)
HI (59.2/36.7)
MA (56.0/38.2)   
MD (54.4/41.6)
NY (65.1/29.3)
VT (54.3/37.3)

Lean approve Obama:   
CT:(52.8/43.3)
IL: (51.9/42.2)
MI (50.5/43.4)
RI (51.4/41.5)
NJ: (50.6/43.0)
WA (50.2/44.9)
WI: (49.9/44.Cool

Weak approve Obama:


Strong disapprove :   
AL (59.9/39.0)
AK (59.8/38.Cool
AZ (54.7/41.0)
AR (63.7/33.2)
ID (71.0/29.0)
IN (56.0/40.5)
KS (62.2/36.0)
KY (58.0/35.9)
LA (59.7/39.0)
MS (57.8/39.7)
MT (58.6/38.Cool
NE (60.6/37.3)
ND (60.7/38.7)
OK (66.4/33.4)
SD (58.1/40.7)
TN (52.4/39.6)
TX (52.8/39.7)
UT (69.3/28.1)
WV (63.3/29.1)
WY (68.9/30.4)

Lean disapprove:
CO (50.0/43.Cool
FL (50.6/46.0)
GA (49.6/42.Cool
MO (52.1/42.Cool
NH (50.0/43.2)
NM: (49.7/44.3)
NV (50.1/43.9)
OH (49.5/43.6)
OR:(52.7/44.6)
PA (49.6/45.2)
SC (49.1/43.6)

Weak disapprove :
IA: (47.7/45.7)
ME:(47.7/47.0)
NC (50.2/47.0)
VA: (47.0/48.3)

Toss-up:
MN:( 46.9/46.9)
Logged
Hash
Hashemite
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,880
Cuba


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #33 on: April 01, 2012, 03:52:41 pm »

Stop posting.
Logged
Ben Romney
Hillary2012
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 395
Germany


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #34 on: April 10, 2012, 05:17:57 pm »

GOP Primary: National: Mitt Romney is the frontrunners now!

Romney:41.4% Paul:10.7% Gingrich:09.8%


Romney :AK AZ CA CT DC FL HI IN ID IL MA MD ME MI NH NC NJ NV NY OH OR PA RI SD TX UT VA VT WA WI WY

Gingrich:GA KY MT NE NM SC WV

Santorum:AL CO IA LA MN MO MS ND OK TN


IA Caucus: Jan.3:
RS24.6% MR24.5% RP21.5% NG13.3% RP010.3% MB05.0% JH00.6% 25 Delegates

NH Primary: Jan.10:
MR39.3% RP22.9% JH16.9% NG09.4% RS09.4% RP00.7% 12 Delegates

SC Primary: Jan.21:
NG40.4% MR27.9% RS17.0% RP13.0% 25 Delegates

FL Primary: Jan.31:
MR46.4% NG31.9% RS13.3% RP07.0% 50 Delegates

NV Primary: Feb.04:
MR50.0% NG21.1% RP18.7% RS09.9% 28 Delegates

ME Primary: Feb.04-11: MR:39.2% RP:35.7% RS17.7% NG:06.3% 24 Delegates

Co Caucus: Feb.07: RS40.2% MR:34.9% NG:12.8% RP:11.8% 36 Delegates
MN Primary: Feb.07: RS44.8% RP27.2% MR16.9% NG10.7% 40 Delegates
MO Primary: Feb.07: RS55.2% MR25.3% RP12.2% 00 Delegates
AZ Primary: Feb.28: MR47.3% RS26.6% NG16.2% RP08.5% 29 Delegates
MI Primary: Feb.28: MR41.1% RS37.9% RP11.6% NG06.5% 30 Delegates
WY Caucus: Feb.29: MR39.0% RS31.9% RP20.8% NG07.8% 29 Delegates
WA Caucus: Mar.3: MR37.6% RP24.8% RS23.8% NG10.3% 43Delegates
AK Caucus: Mar.6: MR32.6% RS29% RP24.0% NG14.2% 27 Delegates
GA Primary: Mar.6: NG47.2% MR25.9% RS19.6% RP:06.5% 76 Delegates
ID Caucus: Mar.6: MR63.2% RP17.4% RS17.1% NG02.2% 32 Delegates
MA Primary: Mar.6: MR:72.1% RP:12.1% RS09.6% NG:04.0% 41 Delegates
ND Caucus: Mar.6: RS39.7% RP28.1% MR23.7% NG08.5% 28 Delegates
OH Primary: Mar.6: MR38.4% RS37.4% NG14.8% RP09.4% 66 Delegates
OK Primary: Mar.6: RS33.8% MR28.0% NG27.5% RP09.6% 43 Delegates
TN Primary: Mar.6: RS37.2% MR28.0% NG24.0% RP09.1% 58 Delegates
VT Primary: Mar.6: MR40.3% RP25.1% RS23.4% NG08.3% 17 Delegates
VA Primary: Mar.6: MR59.5% RP40.5% 49 Delegates
KS Caucus: Mar.10: RS:51.2 MR:20.9% NG:14.4 RP:12.6% 40 Delegates
NMI: Mar.10: MR:87.3% RS:06.3% RP:03.3% NG:03.2% 09 Delegates
VI Caucus : Mar.10 : MR:34.4% RP:29.2% RS:06.0% NG:04.7% 09 Delegates
Guam Caucus : Mar. 10: MR:100% 09 Delegates
AL Primary: Mar. 13: RS:34.5% NG29.3% MR29.0% RP05.0% 50 Delegates
HI Caucus: Mar.13: MR45.4% RS25.3% RP:18.3% NG11.0% 20 Delegates
MS Primary: Mar.13: RS32.9% NG31.3% MR30.3% RP04.4% 40 Delegates
AS Caucus: Mar.13: MR:100% 09 Delegates

PR Primary: Mar.18: MR:82.9% RS:08.0% BR:02.2% NG:02.0% FK:01.7% RP:01.2% 23 Delegates

IL Primary: Mar.20: MR:46.7% RS:35.0% RP:09.3% NG:07.9% 54Delegates
MO Caucus: Apr.10: no polls but Santorum should win here
LA Primary: Mar.24: RS49.0% MR:26.7% NG:15.9% RP:06.2% 20 Delegates
MD Primary: Apr.03: MR49.1% RS28.9% NG10.9% RP09.5% 37 Delegates
DC Primary: Apr.03: MR70.2% RP12.0% NG10.7% JH07.0% 19 Delegates
Wi Primary: Apr.03: MR42.5% RS37.6% RP11.7% NG06.1% 42Deelegates

Prediction:
CT Primary: Apr.24: MR:36.7% NG:20.4% RP.07.8% 28 Delegates

DE Primary: Apr.24: no polls available yet 17 Delegates

NY Primary: Apr.24: MR47.7% NG09.2% RP10.5% 95 Delegates

PA Primary: Apr.24: MR37.3% NG06.7% RP08.3% 72 Delegates

RI Primary: Apr.24: MR39.0% NG13.0% RP05.0% 19 Delegates

Delegates:
Mitt Romney: 647 + 32 +2 = 681
Ron Paul: 068 + 01 = 069
RickSantorum: 291 + 02 = 293
Newt Gingrich: 140 + 03 = 143

If the presidential election would be held today a Generic GOP candidate could get 339 EV!President Obama could get 189 EV! 10EV from MN are a toss-up!
A candidate needs 270 EV to get elected!

Mitt Romney 51.0% 46.4% Barack Hussein Obama
Newt Gingrich 45.8% 50.3% Barack Hussein Obama
Ron Paul 47.6% 46.1% Barack Hussein Obama

If its Mitt Romney against Obama it would be: 204 EV 220 EV 114 EV toss-up

If its Newt Gingrich against Obama it would be: 149 EV 374 EV 015 EV toss-up

If its Ron Paul against Obama it would be: 215 EV 221 EV 102 EV toss-up


Senate:
2010: GOP: 47 DEM: 51 IND: 02
2012: GOP: 49 DEM: 46 IND: 02 Toss-up: 3
Takeover GOP: MO MT NE VA
DEM:
IND: ME
Toss-up: CT MA WI

Governor:
2010: GOP: 29 DEM: 20 IND: 01
2012: GOP: 32 DEM: 16 IND: 01 Toss-up: 2
Takeover GOP: MT NC WA WV
DEM:
Toss-up: IN WI


President: Approve/Disapprove



Strong approve Obama:

CA: (53.2/41.0)

DC (85.0/15.0)

DE:(56.6/43.5)

HI (59.2/36.7)

MA (56.0/38.6)

MD (54.4/41.6)

NY (59.2/36.4)

VT (54.3/37.3)



Lean approve Obama:

CT:(52.8/43.3)

IL: (51.9/42.2)

ME:(47.7/47.0)

RI (51.4/41.5)

NJ: (50.6/43.0)

WA (50.2/44.9)



Weak approve Obama:

WI: (50.2/43.5)



Strong disapprove :

AL (59.9/39.0)

AK (59.8/38.Cool

AZ (54.7/41.0)

AR (63.7/33.2)

ID (71.0/29.0)

IN (56.0/39.7)

KS (62.2/36.0)

KY (58.0/35.9)

LA (59.7/39.0)

MS (57.8/39.7)

MT (58.6/38.Cool

NE (55.5/37.7)

ND (60.7/38.7)

OK (66.4/33.4)

SD (58.1/40.7)

TN (52.4/39.6)

TX (52.8/39.7)

UT (69.3/28.1)

WV (63.3/29.1)

WY (68.9/30.4)



Lean disapprove:

GA (49.6/42.Cool

MI (49.2/47.2)

MO (52.1/42.Cool

NH (50.0/43.2)

NM: (49.7/44.3)

OH (49.3/45.3)

OR:(52.7/44.6)

PA (50.2/43.Cool

SC (49.1/43.6)

VA: (48.7/44.7)



Weak disapprove :

CO (48.5/46.9)

FL (49.8/46.5)

IA: (47.7/45.7)

NC (49.6/45.5)

NV (48.0/46.9)



Toss-up:

MN:( 46.9/46.9)
Logged
Secret Cavern Survivor
Antonio V
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 49,989
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #35 on: April 12, 2012, 05:41:34 pm »

Stop posting.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,351
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #36 on: April 12, 2012, 05:43:09 pm »

Stop posting.

Or at least make your own thread.
Logged
20PETE20
20RP12
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,207
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #37 on: April 12, 2012, 05:45:24 pm »

Stop posting.
Logged
Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,308
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #38 on: April 15, 2012, 01:48:48 pm »

Stop posting.
Logged
Oakvale
oakvale
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,638
Ireland, Republic of
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #39 on: April 15, 2012, 01:52:37 pm »

Stop posting.
Logged
Solidarity Forever
Alfred F. Jones
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,828
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #40 on: April 15, 2012, 02:47:57 pm »

Stop posting.
Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,586
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #41 on: April 15, 2012, 02:49:11 pm »

Stop posting.
Logged
Oakvale
oakvale
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,638
Ireland, Republic of
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #42 on: April 15, 2012, 02:55:51 pm »

I'd like to make it clear to anyone who's confused that the string of empty quoting is directed at Hillary2012, not Tender Branson, who is a Freedom Fighter of the highest strata.
Logged
tmthforu94
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,962
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #43 on: April 15, 2012, 02:58:15 pm »

I'd like to make it clear to anyone who reads this that empty quoting is not very beneficial to the forum, and it's especially annoying when the same post is made 7 times in a row.

Wink
Logged
Both Sides™
Kalwejt
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 53,087


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #44 on: April 15, 2012, 03:05:41 pm »

Stop posting. STFU, TROLL

And, yes, Tender is the best!
Logged
Oakvale
oakvale
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,638
Ireland, Republic of
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #45 on: April 15, 2012, 03:06:07 pm »

I'd like to make it clear to anyone who reads this that empty quoting is not very beneficial to the forum, and it's especially annoying when the same post is made 7 times in a row.

Wink

It's for a good cause!
Logged
Scott
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,299
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #46 on: April 16, 2012, 05:54:50 pm »

I'd like to make it clear to anyone who reads this that empty quoting is not very beneficial to the forum, and it's especially annoying when the same post is made 7 times in a row.

Wink
Logged
Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,308
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #47 on: April 16, 2012, 06:30:18 pm »

I'd like to make it clear to anyone who reads this that empty quoting is not very beneficial to the forum, and it's especially annoying when the same post is made 7 times in a row.

Wink
Logged
Solidarity Forever
Alfred F. Jones
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,828
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #48 on: April 17, 2012, 02:00:06 pm »

I'd like to make it clear to anyone who reads this that empty quoting is not very beneficial to the forum, and it's especially annoying when the same post is made 7 times in a row.

Wink
Logged
Oakvale
oakvale
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,638
Ireland, Republic of
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #49 on: April 17, 2012, 02:03:27 pm »

Okay, yeah, let's stop now.
Logged
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC