NV PrimR: University of Nevada: Romney slightly ahead of Gingrich
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  NV PrimR: University of Nevada: Romney slightly ahead of Gingrich		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: NV PrimR: University of Nevada: Romney slightly ahead of Gingrich  (Read 878 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: December 22, 2011, 07:55:28 AM »
New Poll: Nevada President by University of Nevada on 2011-12-20

Summary:
Romney:
33%
Gingrich:
29%
Paul:
13%
Other:
14%
Undecided:
11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Meeker
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« Reply #1 on: December 22, 2011, 11:13:57 AM »
But Nevada is a libertarian state?! Why isn't Dr. Paul doing better?!?
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GLPman
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« Reply #2 on: December 22, 2011, 11:55:34 AM »
Not so good news for Paul
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argentarius
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« Reply #3 on: December 22, 2011, 12:16:47 PM »
Not good news for Paul, but if he can win Iowa and at least get a respectable 2nd in NH, he'll be able to turn his attention to Nevada, and I think he will win over voters when he does.
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Yelnoc
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« Reply #4 on: December 22, 2011, 01:36:23 PM »
Crap poll.

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RI
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« Reply #5 on: December 22, 2011, 02:32:00 PM »

lol
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Meeker
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« Reply #6 on: December 22, 2011, 02:38:33 PM »

But prostitution is legal!!!1!
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Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!
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« Reply #7 on: December 22, 2011, 03:12:57 PM »
Quote from: Meeker on December 22, 2011, 11:13:57 AM
But Nevada is a libertarian state?! Why isn't Dr. Paul doing better?!?


(A) Not a good poll and

(B) He hasn't been campaigning there even slightly

If Nevada isn't already sliding Paul's way by the time it comes up, it probably means he isn't going to win. Winning Nevada without stronger wins earlier will be pointless.
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California8429
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« Reply #8 on: December 22, 2011, 05:31:56 PM »
Quote from: Yelnoc on December 22, 2011, 01:36:23 PM
Crap poll.

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It's a caucus so even if they polled 1,000 it wouldn't be worth much.
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Yelnoc
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« Reply #9 on: December 22, 2011, 06:42:19 PM »
Quote from: A-Bob on December 22, 2011, 05:31:56 PM
Quote from: Yelnoc on December 22, 2011, 01:36:23 PM
Crap poll.

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It's a caucus so even if they polled 1,000 it wouldn't be worth much.
Why is that?  I imagine if you had a good likely voter model and a large enough sample size, you could some respectable results.  Perhaps not as accurate as a primary, but better than this junk.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #10 on: December 23, 2011, 12:27:26 AM »
Quote from: Yelnoc on December 22, 2011, 06:42:19 PM
Quote from: A-Bob on December 22, 2011, 05:31:56 PM
Quote from: Yelnoc on December 22, 2011, 01:36:23 PM
Crap poll.

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

It's a caucus so even if they polled 1,000 it wouldn't be worth much.
Why is that?  I imagine if you had a good likely voter model and a large enough sample size, you could some respectable results.  Perhaps not as accurate as a primary, but better than this junk.

Look at the Nevada polls from 2008.  They were all terribly far off, regardless of who was doing it, and what the sample size was.
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