PPP: Romney leads New Hampshire, Paul second

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NH_1229925.pdf

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Mehmentum]

Wow, Paul is doing well!

Romney: 36%
Paul: 21%
Gingrich: 13%
Huntsman: 12%
Perry: 3%
Roemer: 3%
Santorum: 3%

[Eraserhead]

I think Paul could make things sort of interesting here, but only if he wins Iowa.

[retromike22]

Huntsman almost third!

[TheGlobalizer]

Huntsman almost third!

Lost 1%, though.

[argentarius]

1. Paul
2. Santorum
3. Romney

If this happens in Iowa, then I think Huntsman's time may come.

[redcommander]

I seriously hope Paul goes down in Iowa. He would be an incredibly dangerous FOTM for Republicans.

[Antonio the Sixth]

I seriously hope Paul goes down in Iowa. He would be an incredibly dangerous FOTM for Republicans.

Nah, he's harmless. Paul can't win, so let's have some fun until it goes on !

[redcommander]

I seriously hope Paul goes down in Iowa. He would be an incredibly dangerous FOTM for Republicans.

Nah, he's harmless. Paul can't win, so let's have some fun until it goes on !

I'm incredibly nervous that he's now over 20 in New Hampshire.

[Simfan34]

At this rate, Huntsman will certainly place at least third.

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

At this rate, Huntsman will certainly place at least third.

Considering the field, that isn't too impressive for a state he's throwing everything at.

[Simfan34]

At this rate, Huntsman will certainly place at least third.

Considering the field, that isn't too impressive for a state he's throwing everything at.

No, not really.

[Jason Alvarez]

It would be interesting if Paul wins here.

[CLARENCE 2015!]

Roemer at 3%... good for him!

[Lief 🗽]

Paul could win New Hampshire if he does well in Iowa and Mitt does poorly.

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

Paul could win New Hampshire if he does well in Iowa and Mitt does poorly.

That'd be fun.

[Badger]

At this rate, Huntsman will certainly place at least third.

Considering the field, that isn't too impressive for a state he's throwing everything at.

No, not really.

Yes,really.

Regardless, where does he go after even a strong third in nh? His entire campaign is based on romney fundamentally collapsing, and that isn,t forseeable.

[Oakvale]

At this rate, Huntsman will certainly place at least third.

Considering the field, that isn't too impressive for a state he's throwing everything at.

No, not really.

Yes,really.

Regardless, where does he go after even a strong third in nh? His entire campaign is based on romney fundamentally collapsing, and that isn,t forseeable.

Badger, do I detect that you're typing from your phone/Ipad? I ask because I'm constantly putting commas instead of spaces when I do so.

[Yelnoc]

At this rate, Huntsman will certainly place at least third.

Considering the field, that isn't too impressive for a state he's throwing everything at.

No, not really.

Yes,really.

Regardless, where does he go after even a strong third in nh? His entire campaign is based on romney fundamentally collapsing, and that isn,t forseeable.

I'm pretty sure that Simfan was agreeing with MBD.

[Simfan34]

At this rate, Huntsman will certainly place at least third.

Considering the field, that isn't too impressive for a state he's throwing everything at.

No, not really.

Yes,really.

Regardless, where does he go after even a strong third in nh? His entire campaign is based on romney fundamentally collapsing, and that isn,t forseeable.

Oh no, I'm agreeing with you, it's not really that impressive. His path is for Romney to do poorly in IA, Paul to either do poorly as well or be diminished by attacks in the week. Something like:  Santorum, Paul, Gingrich, Romney.

[Badger]

At this rate, Huntsman will certainly place at least third.

Considering the field, that isn't too impressive for a state he's throwing everything at.

No, not really.

Yes,really.

Regardless, where does he go after even a strong third in nh? His entire campaign is based on romney fundamentally collapsing, and that isn,t forseeable.

Badger, do I detect that you're typing from your phone/Ipad? I ask because I'm constantly putting commas instead of spaces when I do so.

Busted!

It's ne; I'll learn (I hope).

[Badger]

At this rate, Huntsman will certainly place at least third.

Considering the field, that isn't too impressive for a state he's throwing everything at.

No, not really.

Yes,really.

Regardless, where does he go after even a strong third in nh? His entire campaign is based on romney fundamentally collapsing, and that isn,t forseeable.

Oh no, I'm agreeing with you, it's not really that impressive. His path is for Romney to do poorly in IA, Paul to either do poorly as well or be diminished by attacks in the week. Something like:  Santorum, Paul, Gingrich, Romney.

Got it.

I'll stick with my earlier analysis that Huntsman's only hope is to replace Romney in the race, not become the anti-Romney. To do that he has to beat Romneyh in NH Otherwise he's out within a week.

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

At this rate, Huntsman will certainly place at least third.

Considering the field, that isn't too impressive for a state he's throwing everything at.

No, not really.

Yes,really.

Regardless, where does he go after even a strong third in nh? His entire campaign is based on romney fundamentally collapsing, and that isn,t forseeable.

Oh no, I'm agreeing with you, it's not really that impressive. His path is for Romney to do poorly in IA, Paul to either do poorly as well or be diminished by attacks in the week. Something like:  Santorum, Paul, Gingrich, Romney.

Huntsman would need a helluva boost to actually replace Romney in New Hampshire, and anything short of first (and a decent distance from the runner-up, too) would amount to Huntsman getting nowhere.

My guess would be someone who has no chance in New Hampshire winning Iowa (Santorum would work, Gingrich or Perry maybe) followed by Paul and then Romney. Huntsman could then dig at Romney and Paul, and then sneak past both to steal first.

Huntsman: 28%
Romney: 25%
Paul: 21%

or something like that.

[Free Palestine]

Paul is no longer leading in Iowa?

FFFFUUUUUUUUUUU-

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

Paul is no longer leading in Iowa?

FFFFUUUUUUUUUUU-

Depends on the poll. From what I've seen so far, the bigger the base of non-Republicans included in polling the better Paul does (this is why one poll had him behind Santorum while another had him leading).

It's not something that traditional polling can predict properly.