Who will win Lebanon in 2012?

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I expect Maronites, Muslims and Druzes voting sharply across religious lines.

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Any word on turnout in Druze areas?

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Any word on turnout in Druze areas?

And how about the turnout among Polaqi refugees?

Don't worry. I already urged my cousins to support Santorum.

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Anyway, I predict Santorum victory due to other candidates splitting Muslin votes.

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Significance of Lebanon primary cannot be understated.

Remember when, back in 1972, Muskie cried in Beirut? That changed the entire race.

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Is Hezbollah, as the state's Tea Party branch, still supporting Bachmann?

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Is Hezbollah, as the state's Tea Party branch, still supporting Bachmann?

Hezbollah, supporting a woman?  You've got to be kidding me.  Last I heard they've stuck with Perry since August.  That oops was a moment Hezbollah could sympathize with.  Everyone knows someone's who's had a suicide vest malfunction, after all.

Hezbollah with Perry? You got to be kidding me, my friend. Perry, with all his talk about border security, cannot appel to Hezbollah for a very obvious reason!

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I've heard about a movement that encourages to write-in Bashar Al-Assad, because no candidate is "conservative" enough.

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Anyway, I predict Santorum victory due to other candidates splitting Muslin votes.

I don't know.  Bachmann has been seen recently campaigning in Baalbek, wearing a Muslin dress.  I've heard the Muslin-wearing fashionistas in Jdeide were very appreciative, so much so that Perry was seen a couple of days later touring through Baalbek in a Muslin dress of his own.

Oh, you got me

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I've heard about a movement that encourages to write-in Bashar Al-Assad, because no candidate is "conservative" enough.

I doubt anything will come of it, though. If only Assad had announced his candidacy, he could be dominating right now. It's amazing how many potential Presidents missed out on this nomination-on-a-platter -- Mitch Daniels, John Thune, Bashar al-Assad, Chris Christie.

Assad would end up like Perry.

"If elected, there are 3 things I will do to my opponents : murder them, torture them, and... wait, what was that ? Murder, torture, and... ? Oops."

I feel Assad prefers to remain Governor of Syria for life, just like Perry wants to be Governor of Texas for life.

Btw, any thoughts from will Alawites support during Syria primary?

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All right, all right, we get it, every presidential candidate picks up a few muslin dresses while swinging through the two Levantine States. Back to the primary

We have a new exit poll from Université Saint-Joseph. They've been fairly reliable.

22%  Santorum
21%  Romney  
21%  Huntsman
17%  Paul
13%  Jumblatt
6%    Others

http://www.usj.edu.lb/en/polling/primary2012/exit/2330poll03012012.pdf

Looks like Jumblatt't candidacy hurts Romney.

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I think Governor Assad would have been a dream candidate for the GOP, had he only ran. Young (46), yet experienced (eleven years as Governor, longer than anyone in the nation). Has attractive wife and is very popular (reelected with 97.6% last time).

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I think Governor Assad would have been a dream candidate for the GOP, had he only ran. Young (46), yet experienced (eleven years as Governor, longer than anyone in the nation). Has attractive wife and is very popular (reelected with 97.6% last time).

That's only because the Dems actually didn't nominate a candidate.

That's because they knew Assad will massacre them (in election, of course).

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Mikado's right. Also remember that Romney's mormonism isn't going to play great among Maronites. They'd be strong for Santorum, but...