Official Iowa Caucus Results Thread (user search)
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Author Topic: Official Iowa Caucus Results Thread  (Read 55076 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« on: January 03, 2012, 08:29:21 AM »
CNN here:

http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/state/ia

DMR here:

http://caucuses.desmoinesregister.com/data/iowa-caucus/results

Associated Press here:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2012/by_state/IA_Page_0103.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2012/by_county/IA_Page_0103.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

...

First results & the so called "Entrance Poll" can be expected shortly after 8pm EST (2am Europe).
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #1 on: January 03, 2012, 08:37:44 AM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on January 03, 2012, 08:36:07 AM
Should early turnout buzz and that sort of thing be put in here?

Of course. All in here.

And someone please sticky it.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #2 on: January 03, 2012, 06:45:28 PM »
Quote from: Antonio V on January 03, 2012, 06:01:59 PM
Well, guys, I'm going to bed. It's midnight here and I don't want to wake up too late tomorrow. It's a pity, but I'll have to learn about the results tomorrow. Tongue

If you took a nap like I did in the past 7 hours, you could watch it now ... Wink
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #3 on: January 03, 2012, 06:54:47 PM »
Ah, good to see that CNNI is already showing something ... (but not the US one)
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #4 on: January 03, 2012, 07:02:04 PM »
Yeah just started !

With Wolf Blitzer ... meh Tongue
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #5 on: January 03, 2012, 07:12:10 PM »
Quote from: A-Bob on January 03, 2012, 07:01:39 PM
Does anyone have the recorded exit polls from 08 and how close the network was to the actual results?

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/epolls/index.html#IAREP
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #6 on: January 03, 2012, 07:16:51 PM »
If CNN already has a former Bush figure in their analysis team, why can't they switch Ari Fleischer for Dana Perino ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #7 on: January 03, 2012, 07:27:31 PM »
Quote from: © Tweed Action on January 03, 2012, 07:24:41 PM
what's a good time to pour the first drink?  745?

First Red Bull is already open ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #8 on: January 03, 2012, 07:32:02 PM »
From what I see on CNN, turnout looks not too bad ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #9 on: January 03, 2012, 07:35:22 PM »

Probably right after 8pm ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #10 on: January 03, 2012, 08:02:18 PM »
Paul 25%
Romney 23%
Santorum 18%
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #11 on: January 03, 2012, 08:08:06 PM »
Early Birds:

25-26% Paul
23-24% Romney
18-19% Santorum
13% Gingrich
10% Perry
6-7% Bachmann
1% Huntsman
2-3% Others
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #12 on: January 03, 2012, 08:09:52 PM »
Quote from: Meeker on January 03, 2012, 08:08:27 PM
I wonder if this entrance poll may be missing the small towns that Santorum is probably going to do best in.

This is only the first wave.

There are still the late entrants to be surveyed and they vote differently !
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #13 on: January 03, 2012, 08:16:24 PM »
CNN updated their entrance poll:

24% Paul
23.5% Romney
18-19% Santorum
13% Gingrich
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #14 on: January 03, 2012, 08:18:58 PM »
Quote from: Antonio V on January 03, 2012, 08:18:19 PM
Do we have any actual results up ? The CNN website is still empty...

In about 45 minutes ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #15 on: January 03, 2012, 08:22:46 PM »
Quote from: Assemblyman & Queen Mum Inks.LWC on January 03, 2012, 08:20:19 PM
And past results have shown entrance/exit polls are better for showing demographics than actual results.  What's the MoE for the entrance poll?

710 respondents so far, which would be +/- 4%

The final poll in 2008 had 1600 respondents.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #16 on: January 03, 2012, 08:31:30 PM »
Praying for Romney to end up 3rd ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #17 on: January 03, 2012, 08:44:50 PM »
More entrance poll numbers (over 1300 questioned now):

23.5 Paul
23.5 Romney
19.0 Santorum
13.0 Gingrich
10.5 Perry
  6.5 Bachmann
  1.5 Huntsman
  2.5 Others
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #18 on: January 03, 2012, 08:46:34 PM »
I think it could be wrong though: Santorum could still win it.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #19 on: January 03, 2012, 09:07:10 PM »
CNN entrance poll now updated to 23-24% for Paul/Santorum/Romney ... Tongue
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #20 on: January 03, 2012, 09:14:15 PM »
Is it just me, or is the Forum fu**ing slow again ?

And it's not even General Election Night ... Tongue
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #21 on: January 03, 2012, 09:27:47 PM »
Now all 3 at 23% ... Tongue
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #22 on: January 04, 2012, 12:32:31 AM »
LOL

This race is crazy ...

It's 6:30 in the morning and Santorum leads by 5 votes ... Tongue
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #23 on: January 04, 2012, 12:50:57 AM »
Romney might even end up with less votes than in 2008 ... Tongue

Go Santorum !
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #24 on: January 04, 2012, 12:57:17 AM »
Already 7am here, need to get ready for work ...

But Romney really has to worry about SC now, considering his miserable result there in 2008.

Santorum could rise pretty fast down there and the donations will also come in quick now.
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