Official Iowa Caucus Results Thread (user search)
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Author Topic: Official Iowa Caucus Results Thread  (Read 54936 times)
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,743


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« on: January 03, 2012, 10:32:43 PM »

Perry and Paul tied in Union county.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,743


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #1 on: January 03, 2012, 10:52:48 PM »

Ron Paul probably gets 3rd place.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,743


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #2 on: January 03, 2012, 11:10:07 PM »

LOL, the Iowa Republican party are total Romney shills. See this. Romney is the bestest because he won some precinct twice.

http://iowacaucus.com/2012/01/03/romney-wins-linns-precinct-23-again/
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,743


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #3 on: January 03, 2012, 11:14:43 PM »

So Santorum is at worst in a close second place, and yet he's essentially tied with Huntsman behind Gingrich for 3rd place for odds on the nomination.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,743


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #4 on: January 03, 2012, 11:22:52 PM »

I'm not sure why Romney fans are so excited.

1. Romney is basically going to tie Rick Santorum, a guy who was going nowhere as soon as last week. People are so desperate to not have Romney that they fueled Santorum to the top. Are you really going to celebrate that?

2. Romney didn't improve on his 2008 record, and he's only in 1st is because so many folks split the social conservative vote. With no Perry or Bachmann (who now have no chance), Santorum would be up by nearly 20% more.

3. The race gets harder for Romney now, because tonight's losers are as good as gone, and their support will undoubtedly shift to Santorum.
Once again...Romney barely paid attention to Iowa this time, and is extremely close to winning it. NO Republican has ever won both Iowa and New Hampshire. Romney is going to have a ton of momentum if he comes out the winner in both states.

In addition to the obvious Republicans, Gerald Ford won both of those in 1976.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,743


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #5 on: January 03, 2012, 11:26:59 PM »

Santorum surges to a 99 vote lead.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,743


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #6 on: January 03, 2012, 11:30:32 PM »

First results from Monana and Rick Perry is leading.

Santorum is up with 4 precincts in.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,743


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #7 on: January 03, 2012, 11:33:30 PM »


Is she going to drop out?
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,743


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #8 on: January 03, 2012, 11:43:47 PM »

109 vote lead for Santorum. Most precincts yet to report are in Romney counties.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,743


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #9 on: January 03, 2012, 11:46:44 PM »

Santorum +113
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,743


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #10 on: January 03, 2012, 11:56:03 PM »

What is Bachmann trying to prove? She got 6 points in her de facto home state.

For her, that's an incredible achievement.  If she can top 6% in a state where she wasn't born, she'll start wearing a crown in public.

Wow, only 7% in her birth county of Black Hawk.



Would Dubuque just report those last 10 precincts please? Angry

They aren't the only ones sitting on some precincts.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,743


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #11 on: January 03, 2012, 11:59:42 PM »

Hopefully the conservatives coalesce behind Santorum now, to defeat the Mormon.

You clearly are going to keep doing this thing of yours going until Mittens wraps it up aren't you, Lief? Have fun!  Smiley

One of the Mormons didn't break 1%. Of course he was quick to call Iowa irrelevant.

So he dropped out before Bachmann? What a joke she is.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,743


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #12 on: January 04, 2012, 12:01:38 AM »

LOL, if Perry wasn't such a moron, he would have run away with the nomination.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,743


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #13 on: January 04, 2012, 12:03:24 AM »

Santorum down to a 37 vote lead. 29 precincts still out in Story and Dubque. Odds are on Romney.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,743


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #14 on: January 04, 2012, 12:17:37 AM »

The vote totals just dropped. Maybe they didn't like those ballots.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,743


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #15 on: January 04, 2012, 12:21:21 AM »

Romney's leading again according to Google.

Google also tells me that Santorum is up 44 votes if I Google Iowa Caucus. Silly Google.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,743


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #16 on: January 04, 2012, 12:24:20 AM »


If you Google Iowa Caucus, they have Romney up 62. That seems to be trailing CNN, which now has Romney up 41.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,743


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #17 on: January 04, 2012, 12:25:22 AM »

Anyone ever seen something like this before? Different sites had different people leading, and then reversed leaders at almost exactly the same time
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,743


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #18 on: January 04, 2012, 12:27:20 AM »

CNN and Google results for Iowa Caucus now agree on a 41 vote Romney lead, but that Google map has Santorum up an undisclosed amount.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,743


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #19 on: January 04, 2012, 12:29:25 AM »

Good news for frothy, Google maps has Dubuque 100% in, while it's stuck at 92% in CNN.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,743


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #20 on: January 04, 2012, 12:31:25 AM »

5 votes? LOL
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,743


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #21 on: January 04, 2012, 12:35:52 AM »

Those latest votes vanished on CNN, and Romney is back to his 41 vote lead. That's the second time I noticed disappearing votes.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,743


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #22 on: January 04, 2012, 12:40:33 AM »

Those votes that gave Santorum his 5 vote lead reappeared on CNN.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,743


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #23 on: January 04, 2012, 01:18:22 AM »

Has there ever been an election this big that has come down to the final two precincts?

None that I can remember.

I guess you don't remember much from November 7, 2000.
Other epic races included Washington governor 2004, and Minnesota Senate 2008.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,743


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #24 on: January 04, 2012, 01:26:06 AM »

If the 2 precincts that remain vote in the same proportion as the rest of their respective counties, Romney will win by 30 votes.

Might want to check your math...

I rounded wrong... 29.  But what's wrong with that?

If they vote like the rest of their counties, Romney won't net more than a couple of votes.
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