Official Iowa Caucus Results Thread (user search)
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  Official Iowa Caucus Results Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Official Iowa Caucus Results Thread  (Read 54961 times)
M
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Posts: 2,491


« on: January 03, 2012, 06:39:47 PM »

Mind if I invite some people from AH.com?

That would be awesome. Focus on the After-1900's!
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M
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,491


« Reply #1 on: January 03, 2012, 07:57:24 PM »

Well, guys, I'm going to bed. It's midnight here and I don't want to wake up too late tomorrow. It's a pity, but I'll have to learn about the results tomorrow. Tongue

F- it, I changed my mind. I'm here guys !

Solid choice, sir!
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M
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,491


« Reply #2 on: January 03, 2012, 11:21:46 PM »

What do we know about Monona and Madison Counties?
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M
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,491


« Reply #3 on: January 04, 2012, 12:41:52 AM »

If Santorum wins tonight, it is a monument to wasting time in a state that cares about you wasting time in their state when you have a whole bunch of crappy opponents.

Exactly.
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M
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,491


« Reply #4 on: January 04, 2012, 01:25:55 AM »

Why did Perry do so well in southern Iowa? Do they speak with a twang and say ya'll in those parts?

After seeing those results, I think that's the case: both Edwards and Huckabee won in a landslide there.

There must be some Missouri influence, and Missouri (especially rural Missouri) has more Southern influence than any other Midwestern state.

Good indicator of Santorum's problem - to win, or even make a real go of it, as the stronger conservative, you need to win the South. I'm not sure that Santorum will resonate there. Gingrich and Perry could have been viable, at least as Huckabee/Edwards like sectional candidates.

This nomination is all over but the shouting, barring late entries.
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M
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,491


« Reply #5 on: January 04, 2012, 01:31:43 AM »

If the 2 precincts that remain vote in the same proportion as the rest of their respective counties, Romney will win by 30 votes.

Might want to check your math...

I rounded wrong... 29.  But what's wrong with that?

If they vote like the rest of their counties, Romney won't net more than a couple of votes.

Clinton: 29/30 reporting.

Romney has 386.  386/29*30 = 399
Santorum has 321.  321/29*30 = 332

Keokuk: 15/16 reporting.

Romney has 73.  73/15*16 = 78
Santorum has 92.  92/15*16 = 98

Romney 399+78 = 477
Santorum 332+98 = 430

Giving Romney a lead of 47.

Santorum leads by 18 now, so 47-18 = 29.


That math would be correct if all but one precinct were out in those counties.
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M
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,491


« Reply #6 on: January 04, 2012, 01:47:11 AM »

I still see a missing Clinton County precinct on Google.
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