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World politics is up Schmitt creek
Nathan
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« Reply #1575 on: June 30, 2013, 03:16:47 AM »

I hate to ask but...is Alexandre Duplessis any relation?
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MaxQue
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« Reply #1576 on: June 30, 2013, 03:23:42 AM »

I hate to ask but...is Alexandre Duplessis any relation?

Would doubt it. Maurice had no kids and was from Trois-Rivičres area. Alexandre Duplessis family are important powerbrokers in Laval since decades. Given than mobility was quite low before Quiet Revolution and than Duplessis is a common last name, I would lean towards no.

I would also suppose than news would have reported it, if they were related.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1577 on: July 01, 2013, 07:30:53 AM »

TC2 has the Nanos projection: 132 Grits, 98 Tories, 77 Dippers. The seat breakdowns are very interesting, to say the least.

Hill Times doesn't give us anything new on the shuffle.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #1578 on: July 01, 2013, 08:32:18 AM »


Why aren't they doing projections with the new seats?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1579 on: July 02, 2013, 10:06:04 AM »

Ted Menzies is retiring in 2015. So if Flaherty leaves then Clement isn't just the best option- he's the only option for Finance.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1580 on: July 02, 2013, 10:13:31 AM »
« Edited: July 02, 2013, 10:18:59 AM by RogueBeaver »

Looks like our oppo research team gave Sun this tape of Trudeau saying he never took a dime of speaking fees. I'm more interested in a tape where he discusses foreign policy or the monarchy myself.
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Poirot
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« Reply #1581 on: July 02, 2013, 04:37:38 PM »


He is probably waiting for the process of redistribution to be completed in all provinces. (and he could also be waiting for the transposed results on new map by Elections Canada)

I think his model is mostly change in numbers from last election. Outremont (but not with new map) is shown to be 44% LPC to 38% NDP.
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bryanbreguet
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« Reply #1582 on: July 03, 2013, 05:28:52 AM »

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Exactly. I (I'm the owner of too close to call) need to wait for the process to be completed. And hopefully Election Canada will indeed publish a transposition of the votes to the new map. If they don't, I'll have a lot more work to do.
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Hatman 🍁
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« Reply #1583 on: July 03, 2013, 08:54:20 AM »

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Exactly. I (I'm the owner of too close to call) need to wait for the process to be completed. And hopefully Election Canada will indeed publish a transposition of the votes to the new map. If they don't, I'll have a lot more work to do.

Hey, it's Earl here from the Canadian Election Atlas. Welcome to the Forum! Smiley
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1584 on: July 03, 2013, 11:16:03 AM »

Trudeaumania still alive and well in the Atlantic provinces.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #1585 on: July 03, 2013, 01:02:41 PM »


With those numbers even MacKay is vulnerable.
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Peter the Lefty
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« Reply #1586 on: July 03, 2013, 03:31:32 PM »

New Abacus poll:
Liberals–29%
Conservatives–27%
NDP–26%
Greens–10%
Bloc–6%
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Hatman 🍁
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« Reply #1587 on: July 03, 2013, 03:35:03 PM »

New Abacus poll:
Liberals–29%
Conservatives–27%
NDP–26%
Greens–10%
Bloc–6%


Uhh... what?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1588 on: July 03, 2013, 03:58:12 PM »

Abacus is junk.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #1589 on: July 03, 2013, 04:05:08 PM »


And they don't like releasing their regional numbers Angry
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You kip if you want to...
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1590 on: July 03, 2013, 04:09:42 PM »


Seems pretty inane not to for a country with a region like Quebec.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1591 on: July 03, 2013, 04:52:10 PM »

Only a few pollsters do that though. The best have regionals (esp. Quebec-only polls) and demographic breakdowns too.
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You kip if you want to...
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1592 on: July 03, 2013, 04:56:53 PM »

Probably a silly question, but should Christie Clark end up being deeply unpopular at the time of the next federal election, will Justin Trudeau be trying to run away from the BC Liberals or can voters actively separate the two, rather different, entities?
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Hatman 🍁
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« Reply #1593 on: July 03, 2013, 05:06:17 PM »

Probably a silly question, but should Christie Clark end up being deeply unpopular at the time of the next federal election, will Justin Trudeau be trying to run away from the BC Liberals or can voters actively separate the two, rather different, entities?

They are very different parties. The BC Liberals get more votes from federal Tories than from the federal Liberals.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #1594 on: July 03, 2013, 05:14:24 PM »

Probably a silly question, but should Christie Clark end up being deeply unpopular at the time of the next federal election, will Justin Trudeau be trying to run away from the BC Liberals or can voters actively separate the two, rather different, entities?

They are very different parties. The BC Liberals get more votes from federal Tories than from the federal Liberals.

Indeed. Provincial parties vary widely in how close they are to their federal parties. The BC & Liberals are almost completely severed from their federal counterparts and the voters treat them that way.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1595 on: July 03, 2013, 06:28:20 PM »

Annual financial reports are out: Tories raised $17.3 million, Grits 8.2 (+1.3 from leadership contenders), NDP 7.7.
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Peter the Lefty
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« Reply #1596 on: July 04, 2013, 02:54:24 AM »

Well, that would explain it.  I remember literally laughing seeing the Greens at 10%.  I'd never heard of that company before seeing that poll. 
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1597 on: July 04, 2013, 08:20:24 AM »

While we're on the subject of polling, here's Grenier's take on the recent ones.   Plus a CTV one on non-horserace stuff like approvals.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1598 on: July 04, 2013, 09:06:18 AM »

Diane Ablonczy will retire in 2015, opening up her slot of junior foreign minister for the Americas.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1599 on: July 04, 2013, 09:09:33 AM »

Marjory LeBreton is retiring as Government Leader in the Senate, she's facing mandatory retirement before the election.
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