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Author Topic: Canada General Discussion  (Read 223932 times)
Leftbehind
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« Reply #1225 on: May 11, 2013, 05:05:59 pm »

UM has almost finished imploding, with a few more councillors becoming independent.

Who?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1226 on: May 11, 2013, 05:08:14 pm »

Union Montreal, the now-dissolved party of former Montreal mayor Gerald Tremblay.

In federal news, Rae has been confirmed as the chief negotiator for Lake of Fire First Nations.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/thunder-bay/story/2013/05/10/tby-bob-rae-first-nations-ring-of-fire.html
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1227 on: May 12, 2013, 08:58:42 pm »

100% agreed with Ivison, as usual.

http://fullcomment.nationalpost.com/2013/05/12/pressure-mounts-to-reform-opaque-financial-system/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
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EarlAW
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« Reply #1228 on: May 13, 2013, 08:16:18 am »

Those numbers aren't that good for anyone, really.

Not bad for QS, actually... I think.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1229 on: May 13, 2013, 08:39:06 am »

Peter Worthington has died. RIP. Sad Apparently he wrote his own obituary, which will appear in the Sun tomorrow.

http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2013/05/13/peter-worthington-1927-2013.html
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #1230 on: May 13, 2013, 09:49:38 am »

Apologies if this was discussed a ways back. I found this chart from the Ipsos-Reid exit poll in 2011



Pretty standard stuff.

One idea occurs to me. The high Catholic NDP vote is undoubtedly influenced by the Orange Crush in Quebec. What do you guys think the Catholic vote would look like in English Canada?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1231 on: May 13, 2013, 09:56:36 am »

Tory plurality, at least amongst the practicing.
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EarlAW
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« Reply #1232 on: May 13, 2013, 10:29:29 am »

Apologies if this was discussed a ways back. I found this chart from the Ipsos-Reid exit poll in 2011



Pretty standard stuff.

One idea occurs to me. The high Catholic NDP vote is undoubtedly influenced by the Orange Crush in Quebec. What do you guys think the Catholic vote would look like in English Canada?

Wish they had break down by visible minority. I know we have some data on that, but I wish we'd publish it.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1233 on: May 13, 2013, 12:53:40 pm »
« Edited: May 13, 2013, 08:01:36 pm by RogueBeaver »

Wynne said she hopes there isn't an election, Horwath will make her final budget demand tomorrow and then they'll start negotiating. Labour wants Horwath to pocket her gains, ditto Star and Globe. I still don't see a scenario where the NDP topples Wynne. Barring an election, Tories should ease off the accelerator a bit and send Hudak on the BBQ circuit. Has to get those personal negatives down if he wants better poll # and a clean shot next year or in 2015.

http://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2013/05/13/andrea_horwath_finding_out_that_propping_up_a_government_is_hard_to_do_cohn.html
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1234 on: May 14, 2013, 09:08:08 am »

Horwath's final demands: taking tolls and their taxes out of the budget or cancelling corporate tax cuts, wait till there's a comprehensive transit funding plan. Rules out a coalition with the Grits, not that it was ever on the table.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1235 on: May 14, 2013, 09:26:42 am »

Worthington's self-obituary.

http://www.torontosun.com/2013/05/14/peter-worthington-in-his-own-words
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Hash
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« Reply #1236 on: May 14, 2013, 02:27:53 pm »

The Purgatory war on science continues: http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy/2013/05/13/canada_and_science_nrc_will_now_only_do_science_that_promotes_economic_gain.html?fb_ref=sm_fb_share_blogpost

Science is only good if you can make money off of it.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1237 on: May 14, 2013, 05:51:13 pm »

Brazeau is also fighting the expense audit. So these will have to be settled in court. Ideally there would be legislation setting a hard residency requirement of x days in the province you represent, more realistically we might get an end to the residency honour system. Has to be something much stricter.

http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2013/05/14/senator_patrick_brazeau_to_fight_order_to_repay_48744_in_expenses.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1238 on: May 14, 2013, 07:04:47 pm »

Apparently the Senate can seize the funds and will do so if not repaid when the report is adopted next week. To quote Mr. Burns, "Ex-ce-llent!"
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1239 on: May 14, 2013, 09:02:36 pm »

Bob Fife will have new Senate revelations at 11, reaching to the "highest levels of government." Wonder what they'll be.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1240 on: May 14, 2013, 09:09:57 pm »

Nigel Wright brokered a deal while the audit was underway that he would help Duffy repay the money in exchange for going easy on him and reimbursing taxpayers. Jeebus.

http://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/duffy-made-secret-deal-with-harper-s-chief-of-staff-during-audit-1.1282015
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1241 on: May 15, 2013, 08:22:15 am »

2 new Ontario polls: I'll go with the pollster we've heard of. Abacus pegs 34-34-25.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1242 on: May 15, 2013, 09:44:16 am »

Coderre leads the mayor's race with 34% to 22% for Bergeron and 19% for Harel. Huge # of undecideds, especially among non-Francos.

http://www.lapresse.ca/fichiers/4650915/municipale.pdf
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« Reply #1243 on: May 15, 2013, 09:55:12 am »

Darn. Surprised Coderre is doing better among Francos than Anglos. I guess Undecideds would break to Coderre.

2 new Ontario polls: I'll go with the pollster we've heard of. Abacus pegs 34-34-25.

So, Liberal majority then? Wink
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1244 on: May 15, 2013, 10:04:51 am »

Also a huge undecided # in that category. As for Ontario, Forum pegged something similar a couple of weeks ago but translated it into a Liberal majority thanks to gains from the NDP. But on the flipside, why would Wynne make such an effort to keep Horwath onside if she thought a majority was possible? Sometimes leaders' behaviour can tell us something too, remember Quebec when Charest/Marois kept lurching between base and swing appeals?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1245 on: May 15, 2013, 10:42:01 am »

Wright paid Duffy's expenses, 90k worth, from his personal account. Fife is a scoop machine.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1246 on: May 15, 2013, 11:01:02 am »

PM didn't know about the Duffy gift.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1247 on: May 15, 2013, 02:34:09 pm »

Horwath's post-meeting presser seems rather inconclusive, said it's now in Wynne's hands.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1248 on: May 15, 2013, 09:14:24 pm »

Fife says Duffy told CTV that he repaid that money with an RBC loan, Wright wasn't involved, contradicting the PMO. They barely knew each other. Wright only informed Ethics Commish tonight about the purported loan. Since LeBreton said the money was repaid months ago... eesh.
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« Reply #1249 on: May 16, 2013, 02:49:21 am »

So when does Peter Penashue get appointed to the Senate?
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