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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1525 on: June 21, 2013, 01:32:50 PM »

Bernier arrested and had his car impounded for driving without a licence. This must be Traffic Stop Month. Tongue
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You kip if you want to...
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1526 on: June 21, 2013, 02:07:07 PM »

Is there any hope for the NDP? Or do they just have to bet on Justin self destructing into a ball of vanity?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1527 on: June 21, 2013, 02:14:32 PM »

We're barely halfway through the Parliament, don't get hung up on midterm polls.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #1528 on: June 21, 2013, 02:32:43 PM »

Is there any hope for the NDP? Or do they just have to bet on Justin self destructing into a ball of vanity?

Yes. Trudeau became leader like 2 months ago. Let the honeymoon wear off and we'll see where we are at.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1529 on: June 21, 2013, 06:17:33 PM »

3 bodies found in High River. Sad
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snowguy716
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« Reply #1530 on: June 21, 2013, 07:05:47 PM »

The historic flooding in Calgary has been caused by a persistent, slow moving upper level low to the south in Montana... so the main flow in Calgary has been out of the east... somewhat of a rare situation... but this upsloping flow out of the east causes warm, dense air to cool as it is forced up the eastern slope of the mountains.  This creates rain clouds.

This persistent pattern since mid May has caused an unusually rainy pattern, especially on the normally drier east slopes of the Rockies.  But while Calgary has been wet (just under 5" of rain in May and 5.5" in June so far), the heavier rains quickly flowing off the mountains is the main source of the flooding.

I hope people do heed the warnings and stay safe!
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MaxQue
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« Reply #1531 on: June 21, 2013, 11:35:46 PM »

I hope people do heed the warnings and stay safe!

Sadly, already 3 fatalities and I read than one person is missing after falling in water in Calgary. Western Pyrénées have the same kind of flooding right now. All the rain falling on mountains in running down in the valleys.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1532 on: June 22, 2013, 09:42:54 AM »

Jenni Byrne might return to the PMO, and shuffle's being pegged for late July or early August. I'm still waiting to hear from Ivison and Fife, who are completely plugged into Harperland, unlike the G&M.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1533 on: June 22, 2013, 12:47:42 PM »

Tory convention has been postponed.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1534 on: June 23, 2013, 10:59:56 AM »

Fife says that "at least" 8 ministers will be gone in the shuffle, Ivison said Flaherty may stay after all. O'Connor and Van Loan are definitely gone, and Ivison's hearing about Rajotte as Whip. Which would be awesome. This is the last QP of the summer, BTW. Ivison also said EFTA's going through.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #1535 on: June 25, 2013, 10:12:55 AM »

My provincial EDA is having their nomination meeting tonight. Travis Price of pink t-shirt bullying fame will be nominated by acclamation. Looking forward to some excellent ribs at the fundraising portion of the event as well.
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EarlAW
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« Reply #1536 on: June 25, 2013, 10:18:14 AM »

The Tories are the centrist party in Nova Scotia, correct? (Liberals are the right of centre party?)

It's indicative of the NDP going downhill that an anti-bullying person would run for the Tories instead of the NDP.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #1537 on: June 25, 2013, 11:25:45 AM »

The Tories are the centrist party in Nova Scotia, correct? (Liberals are the right of centre party?)

It's indicative of the NDP going downhill that an anti-bullying person would run for the Tories instead of the NDP.

There's not a huge difference but yes the Liberals are slightly to the right of the Tories in Nova Scotia.

The NDP have long been perceived as soft on bullying, and this has been exacerbated by the Retaeh Parsons case. An anti-bullying NDP candidate would probably be given a hard time.

When we vetted Price as a candidate, he emphasized the failure of school administrations to take decisive action against bullying as one of the main issues he deals with, which indicates to me that he favours  the Tory approach to to crime as well.
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EarlAW
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« Reply #1538 on: June 25, 2013, 01:16:14 PM »

The NDP is soft on bullying? That really seems bizarre to me.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #1539 on: June 25, 2013, 01:54:19 PM »

The NDP is soft on bullying? That really seems bizarre to me.

Soft in the sense of failing to punish offenders. Obviously, they are the loudest of the parties in terms of promoting bullying education in schools etc.
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EarlAW
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« Reply #1540 on: June 25, 2013, 01:55:57 PM »

The NDP is soft on bullying? That really seems bizarre to me.

Soft in the sense of failing to punish offenders. Obviously, they are the loudest of the parties in terms of promoting bullying education in schools etc.

Oh, that makes more sense Wink

This reminds me of one of our right wing city councillor's whose son committed suicide due to bullying.
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EarlAW
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« Reply #1541 on: June 25, 2013, 02:35:26 PM »

Laurent Blanchard becomes mayor of Montreal
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1542 on: June 25, 2013, 03:03:03 PM »

Andy Scott has died of cancer at 58. RIP. Sad

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MaxQue
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« Reply #1543 on: June 25, 2013, 03:20:14 PM »
« Edited: June 25, 2013, 03:26:09 PM by Senator MaxQue »

Laurent Blanchard becomes mayor of Montreal

30 votes for him (VM), 28 for Chilitian (former UM) and 3 for Cowell-Poitras (former UM). Croteau (PM) and de Sousa (former UM) withdrew before the vote. Croteau endorsed Blanchard, de Sousa endorsed Chitilian.

Apparently, the deal is than PM supported VM candidate in exchange of support for the office of President of the Executive Council (for Josée Duplessis, city councillor for DeLorimier, in the Plateau borough). That office is being vacated by Laurent Blanchard.

So, if that works, the three parties have one of three higher offices (Blanchard (VM) is mayor, Chilitian (UM) is President of the Municipal Council and Duplessis (PM) would be the President of the Executive Council).
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MaxQue
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« Reply #1544 on: June 25, 2013, 03:46:45 PM »

Let's note than Laurent Blanchard left his party when he announced his run.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1545 on: June 25, 2013, 06:12:51 PM »
« Edited: June 25, 2013, 06:34:32 PM by RogueBeaver »

Vic Toews is on the verge of retiring from politics. Heading to the private sector, not a judgeship. No surprise that- question is who gets his job, Glover or Bergen. So guess he'll resign after the shuffle.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #1546 on: June 25, 2013, 08:58:34 PM »

Spoke with a staffer at the fundraiser tonight. We've been doing regional polling. Apparently NDP support has gone down the toilet disproportionately outside of Halifax, but is holding up surprisingly well in Halifax. Some resilience on the NDP's part will help them hold seats in the Halifax suburbs.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1547 on: June 26, 2013, 02:35:41 PM »

Liberals and Reds gut 377.  PMO says this isn't over. Reintroduce it in the fall as guv legislation, along with all other IR bills IMO.
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EarlAW
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« Reply #1548 on: June 26, 2013, 07:07:51 PM »

Spoke with a staffer at the fundraiser tonight. We've been doing regional polling. Apparently NDP support has gone down the toilet disproportionately outside of Halifax, but is holding up surprisingly well in Halifax. Some resilience on the NDP's part will help them hold seats in the Halifax suburbs.

That makes a lot of sense, actually. It's the only area where the NDP has won seats federally recently. We saw the NDP do worse in some areas in the last federal election.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #1549 on: June 26, 2013, 08:14:50 PM »

Spoke with a staffer at the fundraiser tonight. We've been doing regional polling. Apparently NDP support has gone down the toilet disproportionately outside of Halifax, but is holding up surprisingly well in Halifax. Some resilience on the NDP's part will help them hold seats in the Halifax suburbs.

That makes a lot of sense, actually. It's the only area where the NDP has won seats federally recently. We saw the NDP do worse in some areas in the last federal election.

Indeed. In 2009 the NDP racked up some massive majorities in rural seats (Queens, Pictou East, Pictou West, Hants East etc.) that are not really traditional NDP strongholds. It will be interested to see how those seats hold up in the next election.

By my count, you've got 8 completely safe seats in the Halifax area, and another 2 in Cape Breton. Plus you should hold onto Hants East no matter what happens. 11 seats is my worst case scenario for the NDP.
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