UK local elections, May 2012

[joevsimp]

Do we have a London mayor thread? Because, erm... .

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=117807.60

needs bumping definitely

fingers crossed for Ken (and Jenny Jones of course) but I can't vote in that since I've moved out to the sticks,

[joevsimp]

thanks for the map.
I loved MPs and local parties congratulating on twitter, without any sign of irony, Cllrs re-elected unopposed last week.

what happens to the ward with no nominations? and I take it Ynys Mon still have the administrators in

[joevsimp]

Pointless bit of trivia for any internationals reading this, but the last time Labour made gains on this cycle of seats was in 1995 when they secured 48% of the English vote.

even with a moderately favourable set of councils up, that is a ridiculous result for labour, they'll probably not get that again for another 15 years I reckon

[joevsimp]

2012 and 2013 locals will be very good for Labour, given how 2008 and 2009 were bad.

2012, on paper, should be excellent. But them again, 2011 was meant to be, but we under performed and the Tories did much better than expected.

2013 should be good, but it's not like many of the seats are in the heartlands.

there's the county councils, I'm fairly sure Labour will want to regain Lancs, Notts, Derbyshire and Staffs, could also do with overtaking the Lib Dems and winning back some of the BNP vote in places like Norhants,  Leicestershire and  Essex

[joevsimp]

No elections here until 2015.

me neither, county council next year though, and all the fun of the police and crime commissioner elections in november

[joevsimp]

todays libdem ppb was fairly dire, tax cuts, is that the best you can manage?

[joevsimp]

Ward name map

Of the four remaining wards to the NW, Wolvercote (the most northerly) is the most vulnerable on paper. To the Tories. Which could actually happen if there is a mini-collapse in the LD vote and the Tory vote holds.

The two directly below that, Summertown and St Margarets, will never fall. If anything, the LD voters of those wards are the most likely in Oxford to support coalition policies.

The final ward, North, just above the Carfax-Holywell pairing, looks quite safe on paper, however, Sushilla Dhall is contesting it for the Greens. She's a pretty big hitter for the LDs locally: she was Councillor for Carfax ward; she polled very well in this ward back in 2004; and contested a general election in Oxford in 2010. She'll be coming from a low base of 14%, but there's a good number of students in that ward, so its possible.

you can spend 5 minutes in Summertown (on a bicycle of course) and know that its a Lib Dem area, but as you say, the kind of more centrist liberal lib dems

any chance of carfax and Holywell being regained by the Greens?

[joevsimp]

Just voted (first time).

TUSC
Green
Labour (I put the cross next to the long-serving 'establishment' man, ftr)

Turnout seems to be (quite predictably) pathetic. No one else entered the polling station for the entire five minutes or so I was in and around it. When the workers saw that I was 18, they acted as if Her Majesty had visited - "You're 18?".

yeah, they do that, I didn't have the heart to tell them I was spoiling my paper when I voted the first time

[joevsimp]

just been looking at the damage in manchester in more depth.


In Hulme, which was briefly held by the greens a few years back the Lib Dems rad their candidate as "Liberal Democrats - For a Greener Britain"

cheeky buggers, didn't stop them coming last though, not that the actual greens were close to regaining it

[joevsimp]

My dad's result is in....

Newbold and Brownsover Ward, Rugby

BRYANS James - Green Party - 155
COLES Andy - Labour Party Candidate - 649 - ELECTED
DAHMASH Yousef - The Conservative Party Candidate - 415
DUNLEAVY Lorna Beryl - Green Party lead candidate - 173
EDWARDS Claire - Labour Party Candidate - 628 - ELECTED
SMITH Bill - Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts - 145
SRIVASTAVA Ram - Labour Party Candidate - 576 - ELECTED
WALTON Martin - The Conservative Party Candidate - 467
WATTS Rachel Elizabeth - The Conservative Party Candidate - 465

Last place was not unexpected I suppose. Also, anyone else notice something....errrr....ummmm....'interesting' about these figures?

erm, Labour candidate's votes are in alphabetical order?

ah got it, yes...forgive me if I'm not totally shocked by that (I am appalled though)

on a related note, was there not a CPGB MP in the '30s name Srivastava?

[joevsimp]

what particular variety is the independent cllr?

[joevsimp]

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-glasgow-west-18017940

Langside Ward in Glasgow may be re-run follwing the discovery of an uncounted ballot box in Battlefield. It may affect the elimination of some candidates in the earlier round. On the 8th Count a Green was elected over an SNP. Probably unlikely to change the overall result though.

EDIT: I stand corrected. The box contained up to 400 ballot papers.

I take ot you mean they'll redo the count from scratch, rather than have a byelection

[joevsimp]

Kennedy might hold his seat, if the boundary changes go through, i reckon he'll beat Alexander for the selection