How will Obama perform in Arizona in 2012 compared to 2008? (user search)
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  How will Obama perform in Arizona in 2012 compared to 2008? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Compared to 2008, Obama's 2012 performance in Arizona will be:
#1
Better, enough to win the state
 
#2
Better, but not enough to win the state
 
#3
The same
 
#4
Worse
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 94

Author Topic: How will Obama perform in Arizona in 2012 compared to 2008?  (Read 5408 times)
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« on: January 14, 2012, 06:15:10 AM »

If the national environment were identical, which it won't be, right about good enough to win the state. If he polls roughly equally nationally but in somewhat different areas, as I think is quite possible, better but not enough to win the state. If he polls worse but good enough to win nationally, probably slightly better here but anyways no worse than about equal. If he loses or comes close to, worse but not nearly as much worse as elsewhere in the west and the suburbs.
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