Who will win Florida?

[Mehmentum]

Remember back in November?  Newt had a double digit lead over Romney in polls in Florida.  I think he might be able to pull it off.

[Vote UKIP!]

Too early.

[exopolitician]

Too early.

This. Ask the same question after Monday.

[Thomas D]

I'll play.

Mitt by 3 or 4 points

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

Too early.

This. Ask the same question after Monday.

[useful idiot]

The debates have become too important to make a prediction about a primary that's going to take place two debates from now.

We also don't really know how the media is going to spin this yet. From the coverage I've seen so far, they're more confused than anything. The narrative was that Romney was going to win, period, even on election night in Iowa. That's gone, and we have yet to see what's going to fill that vacuum. It really depends on whether SC is framed as a Romney loss or a Newt victory, and which of those is worse for Romney I can't say. If the story is that Romney lost it makes him look bad but it doesn't give Gingrich as much momentum, so in a weird way that might be best for him.

[CLARENCE 2015!]

Newt... support for him is big here- if he has the momentum he will sweep FL

[Volrath50]

I think Newt can/will win it. During his early December peak, Florida was his best state, and he had something like a 30 point lead in it. He can get a good portion of those voters back.

[memphis]

Obama.

[Eraserhead]

Lean Newt. Don't think it will be nearly as big of a blowout as SC was though.

[Mad Deadly Worldwide Communist Gangster Computer God]

Lean Newt. Don't think it will be nearly as big of a blowout as SC was though.

[TheGlobalizer]

Newt, and he'll finally put Santorum out of his misery.

[greenforest32]

Lean Newt. Don't think it will be nearly as big of a blowout as SC was though.

[Keystone Phil]

Newt, and he'll finally put Santorum out of his misery.

Still waiting on that Paul win, baby! I guess we'll have to wait until the boring, meaningless Mountain Time Zone caucuses are held for that though.

[Yelnoc]

Voted Rick Santorum on a whim.

[milhouse24]

John Huntsman!!!

He gave up too soon!!!

[Pheurton Skeurto]

Newtmentum!!!

[Alcon]

I expect Newt to be leading there by consistent single digits in upcoming polling, but that may not last.

[Stranger in a strange land]

Depends on how what happened tonight will be spun in the media over the next few days. Right now I'd give a slight edge to Newt, but anything could happen. It would be hilarious if Newt ended up winning all the old Confederate states and nothing else, which actually stands a chance of happening.

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

Newt, and he'll finally put Santorum out of his misery.

Still waiting on that Paul win, baby! I guess we'll have to wait until the boring, meaningless Mountain Time Zone caucuses are held for that though.

Winning boring Mountain Time Zone caucuses with 25+ guaranteed delegates beats winning the first state and then watching as someone else steals your thunder.

Anyhow, this is a tough choice. Mitt has the money and organization that traditionally win Florida, but Newt has the momentum and demographics.

I'm VERY tentatively going to say Mitt, but I REALLY would prefer Newt to win (followed by a Paul win in Nevada, which makes the race three way or even four with a Santorum win somewhere, leading to the best election in ages)

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Depends on how what happened tonight will be spun in the media over the next few days. Right now I'd give a slight edge to Newt, but anything could happen. It would be hilarious if Newt ended up winning all the old Confederate states and nothing else, which actually stands a chance of happening.

He can't win Virginia.

[Miles]

Newt is standing an aggregate 42-23 deficit to Romney in FL...he only has 9 days to reverse that. Still, a week ago, I never thought he'd trounce Romney in SC.  

[redcommander]

I expect some momentum for Newt again, but Rubio will probably come out and endorse Romney (He wants to have a chance of being next in line in 2016 or 2020), and you might see Bush and other high profile officials come out and endorse Romney too in fear of Gingrich being the nominee. Overall probably a 5-10% margin win for Romney.

[bgwah]

Still leaning towards Romney.

[minionofmidas]

If Romney can't win Florida, he'd better drop out. Seriously.

This makes me think he'll win there even if by nowhere near what the polls say.