January 2012 Jobs Report (user search)
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LastVoter
seatown
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Posts: 4,322
Thailand


« on: February 03, 2012, 05:00:24 PM »

At least Newt could mount an attack on Obama from a cultural angle (as sad and disturbing as that would be). The economy is all Romney has going for him. Really.
So Obama gets over 60% of the vote?
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LastVoter
seatown
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Posts: 4,322
Thailand


« Reply #1 on: February 03, 2012, 05:42:22 PM »

At least Newt could mount an attack on Obama from a cultural angle (as sad and disturbing as that would be). The economy is all Romney has going for him. Really.
So Obama gets over 60% of the vote?

He only got 53% of the vote when there was:

- "Hope and change"
- A financial crisis to blame on Bush/Republicans
- An old, erratic, unattractive John McCain as his opponent
- Sarah Palin to mock

How in the world is he going to manage anything close to 53% in THIS environment, but especially if another financial crisis hits due to the troubles in Europe? You do realize what Carl's numbers are showing, right? Things are still worse off than they were three years ago when Obama took office. Not just that, but we have an enormous amount of discouraged workers who are not even reflected in the unemployment rate. The real unemployment rate that America is feeling is well into the double digits.
We are talking about Newt Gingrich here...
And guess what kind of stories would media run if he tries to be the culture warrior.
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LastVoter
seatown
YaBB God
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Posts: 4,322
Thailand


« Reply #2 on: February 03, 2012, 06:23:07 PM »

At least Newt could mount an attack on Obama from a cultural angle (as sad and disturbing as that would be). The economy is all Romney has going for him. Really.
So Obama gets over 60% of the vote?

He only got 53% of the vote when there was:

- "Hope and change"
- A financial crisis to blame on Bush/Republicans
- An old, erratic, unattractive John McCain as his opponent
- Sarah Palin to mock

How in the world is he going to manage anything close to 53% in THIS environment, but especially if another financial crisis hits due to the troubles in Europe? You do realize what Carl's numbers are showing, right? Things are still worse off than they were three years ago when Obama took office. Not just that, but we have an enormous amount of discouraged workers who are not even reflected in the unemployment rate. The real unemployment rate that America is feeling is well into the double digits.
We are talking about Newt Gingrich here...

Oh yeah. I missed that part. Yeah, Gingrich would probably lose about 58-40 or so. I am not going to go there because I already have numerous times.

Romney/Obama will either be 49-49 one way or the other, or a 54-44 win for Romney.
But not 53-45 Romney, or 50-48 Obama?
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LastVoter
seatown
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,322
Thailand


« Reply #3 on: February 03, 2012, 06:36:11 PM »

At least Newt could mount an attack on Obama from a cultural angle (as sad and disturbing as that would be). The economy is all Romney has going for him. Really.
So Obama gets over 60% of the vote?

He only got 53% of the vote when there was:

- "Hope and change"
- A financial crisis to blame on Bush/Republicans
- An old, erratic, unattractive John McCain as his opponent
- Sarah Palin to mock

How in the world is he going to manage anything close to 53% in THIS environment, but especially if another financial crisis hits due to the troubles in Europe? You do realize what Carl's numbers are showing, right? Things are still worse off than they were three years ago when Obama took office. Not just that, but we have an enormous amount of discouraged workers who are not even reflected in the unemployment rate. The real unemployment rate that America is feeling is well into the double digits.
We are talking about Newt Gingrich here...

Oh yeah. I missed that part. Yeah, Gingrich would probably lose about 58-40 or so. I am not going to go there because I already have numerous times.

Romney/Obama will either be 49-49 one way or the other, or a 54-44 win for Romney.
But not 53-45 Romney, or 50-48 Obama?

Obviously the figures are an approximation. However, although I think Obama could obtain a plurality, I do not think he has any chance of obtaining a majority against Romney.
Even if unemployment drops below 7%(assuming we keep dropping .2 each month, under the most optimistic expectations)?
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LastVoter
seatown
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,322
Thailand


« Reply #4 on: February 03, 2012, 07:28:29 PM »

Yes. The rate drop has been completely driven by discouraged workers.

Cite?
he's trolling
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LastVoter
seatown
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,322
Thailand


« Reply #5 on: February 04, 2012, 12:52:26 AM »


Politico,

You have to understand that facts are irrelevant to Obama supporters.

Yeah, you have to wonder if they're going to think they got sucked into a wormhole on Tuesday, November 6. They really have NO IDEA what is going to happen. It's going to be hilarious.
Everyone will have a pretty good idea what will happen by November 1st, polling is pretty decent politico, by that time it should be pretty easy to call the race one way or another correctly if you don't live under a rock.
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