Thatcher Survives

[Jerseyrules]

So, assuming the Tories didn't stab her in the back in 1990, what's the chance of her winning a fourth term?  Would she see it out?  How would England look after 18 years of the Iron Lady?  Discuss

[Jerseyrules]

Diminished majority, but strong enough to last. She'd resign sometime in '95 or '96 and her successor would lose much much worse to Labour.

Would it still be Blair and the "radical center/new labour"?

[Jerseyrules]

She'd lose, but Kinnock'd be blamed for Black Wednesday and the new leader would become PM in 1996-1997.

Kinnock wins 92, then that headline becomes reality...well more conservatives for us

[Jerseyrules]

So how about an earlier kacky election?  Post-Gulf War Tory hard-on?

[Jerseyrules]

Hung Parliament. Remember, the Tory majority in 1987 was over 100; it would have been difficult for Labour to overturn that. Thatcher was still an asset to the party but not as much as John Major turned out to be in 1992.

Thatcher would have went to the country in 1991...probably not long after the Gulf War. In the 1991 Local elections, despite gaining a wave of seats from the Tories, Labours vote share was 6%down on 1990 and the Tories were up around 2%.

There was an obvious difference between the 1990 Tories and the 1991 Tories which might be an explanation for that...

The Tories got rid of her because she was a liability and they knew it.

Alright, what about no poll tax (just trying to figure this out, as I don't know a great deal about UK politics.)

[Jerseyrules]

Sounds like a pretty cool scenario, Pete.

You can tell there's an element of wishful thinking there. 

True, but well-written

[Jerseyrules]

Sounds like a pretty cool scenario, Pete.

You can tell there's an element of wishful thinking there. 

True, but well-written.

Thanks.  I have a lot of fun with alternate histories.  

Me too .  Are you on alternatehistory.com?

[Jerseyrules]

Sounds like a pretty cool scenario, Pete.

You can tell there's an element of wishful thinking there. 

True, but well-written.

Thanks.  I have a lot of fun with alternate histories.  

Me too .  Are you on alternatehistory.com?

Yep.

Same username?