North Carolina 2012 Congressional Races

[smoltchanov]

Who are the most seious candidates against McIntyre, Kissel and Shuler? Most likely - state legislators? And most likely (it's Republican party and it's North Carolina after all) - very conservative?

[smoltchanov]

Kissell better hopes he gets Robinson....

That famous mad ultrarightwinger? "Black Jesse Helms"?)))))

[smoltchanov]

Kissell better hopes he gets Robinson....

That famous mad ultrarightwinger? "Black Jesse Helms"?)))))

He'd be the weakest opponent.

Kissell would be an underdog to any of the others.

Thanks!

[smoltchanov]

Obviously bad thing for Democrats. Only people like Shuler have chances to hold districts like his. Despite "progressive"'s cries that "he is not real Democrat" he IS a real Democrat in his district, where most Democrats are similar to him. If Democratic (or Republican) purists would have their way -  both parties (especially Democrats, because conservatives still outnumber liberals, though not all of them are "pure conservatives") would risk a "permanent minority" status with 40% of population calling itself "moderate" either voting for third-parties (such situation begs for 1-2 centrist parties in addition to existing two, which became more and more "pure activist") or - holding their nose - for "lesser evil" in each particular election

[smoltchanov]

As if we also needed another pointless Democratic purity experiment. Dan Blue, the mayor of a small town in Richmond county, was chosen by the 8th district black caucus to challenge Kissell from the left as a write-in.

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Yes, he'll make a statement, for sure. His statement will be that the black caucus would rather see a Republican elected than an independent-minded Democrat. What a shame.

The worst case here would be a repeat of LA-06 in 2008.

Fully agree. In general - i know few  more selfish organizations then "black caucuses" (they readily come into any sort of agreements with the most conservative Republicans at the expense of other Democrats if that agreements will increase a number of black-majority districts even by 1, they protest against election of white legislators (even liberal) in black-majority districts, because they "ought" to elect blacks (may be in such case white-majority districts "must" elect whites? And David Duke simply copied their logic???). And so on.

[smoltchanov]

What a tool. Doesn't he realise that Kissell is as liberal as his electorate lets him?

Probably - no. I was always surprised to hear from, say, partisan Democrats (Republicans are the same if not worse) something like: "Gene Taylor is a conservative, i don't like him and want a true progressive..". My next phrase always was: "In his district?!!!!" Gene Taylor was the most progressive congressman that MS-04 could elect (you may look at his predecessors like Lott and Colmer if in doubt). For me that was an automatic "period!" and automatic support. But - not for all. (For Republicans - vice versa: " I want a conservative!" - "Where, in MA-06, CT-05 and similar districts??!! No way".... and so on...)

In NC-08 Democratic candidate must be at least moderate-conservative to even have a chance. Yes, probably less conservative then Republican candidate, but not by much...

[smoltchanov]

In SD-01, Stan White conceded as his 21-vote deficit held.

This brings the chamber up to 33/17 Republican. Of the 17 Democrats, only 7 are white.

So, basically, North Carolina goes "Deep South" way in this respect - Democratic legislative delegations in Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiaana, Georgia  and so on are already "heavily Black"....

[smoltchanov]

Walter Jones was one of the Republicans that Boehner punished for voting against Ryan's budget in the 112th Congress.

Jones was stripped of his seat on Financial Services; with the departures of Don Manzullo and Ron Paul, Jones would have been the 4th most senior Republican on the committee. Not surprisingly, the newly-elected Robert Pittenger was appointed to that committee. He'll obviously be far more inclined to tow the party line.

BOTH parties now like "loyalists" and hate "mavericks". Nothing really new, but recently that became a sort of mania for "party leaders". As i said many times - they dream about elections where 435 Nancy Pelosi-clones will run against 435 John Boehner-clones...)))) It will be so much "fun", that one would like to commit suicide because of boredom...)))

[smoltchanov]

The loss of the entire state legislature in 2010 should have been enough to throw Parker out.  It was as if Democrats didnt even try there. 

The results this year didn't exactly help his case either.

Here was the State Senate:

So - mostly Black areas and liberal ones (like Research Triangle)?