2016 elections

[Farage]

Hello guys. What are your predictions for  2016 elections if the candidates are:

Republicans:
- Governor of New Jersey Chris Christie
- U.S. Ambassador to China and Governor of Utah Jon Huntsman
- Senator Marco Rubio from Florida
- Senator Rand Paul from Kentucky
- Senator John Thune from South Dakota
- Former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations John Bolton from Maryland
- U.S. Representative Allen West from Florida
- Businessman Herman Cain from Georgia
- Governor of Mississippi Haley Barbour
- Political consultant Fred Karger of California

Democrats:
- Governor of New York Andrew Cuomo
- Governor of Maryland Martin O'Malley
- Governor of Montana Brian Schweitzer
- Senator Al Franken from Minnesota
- U.S. Representative Denis Kucinich from Ohio
- Former U.S. Representative from Tennessee Harold Ford Jr from New York
- Senator and Former Governor of Virginia Mark Warner
- Former Senator Russ Feingold from Wisconsin
- Governor of Massassuchetts Deval Patrick

I do assume here of course that Barack Obama wins the 2012 Elections.

Who is the most likely to win Iowa? New Hampshire? South Carolina? Florida?
Who might win the primaries? Who will drop out first? Who will gain the major endorsements?

[Jerseyrules]

Karger, Bolton, West, Barbour, and Cain all drop out early, as does Huntsman after losing NH again.  Rand Paul, Rubio, and Christie survive through Super Tuesday, with Thune dropping out after SC.  Paul wins a few critical states on Super Tuesday, plus SC, thanks to the dual-endorsement from Nikki Haley and DeMint, leading Rubio to drop out after losing FL.  Paul and the Tea Party carry the day, with a Feingold / Schweitzer ticket on the other side.