Margin in the PV be higher or lower than the unemployment rate on election day?
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  Margin in the PV be higher or lower than the unemployment rate on election day?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Huh
#1
Obama wins: Higher		  
#2
Obama wins: Lower		  
#3
GOP wins: Higher		  
#4
GOP wins: Lower		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 23

Author Topic: Margin in the PV be higher or lower than the unemployment rate on election day?  (Read 452 times)
You kip if you want to...
change08
Junior Chimp
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« on: February 03, 2012, 11:48:04 AM »
Will the margin of victory, for wichever candidate, be higher or lower than the popular vote on election day 2012?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: February 03, 2012, 11:50:32 AM »
Option 2: Obama wins re-election in a Bush-y manner (+3 points or so).
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Yank2133
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: February 03, 2012, 11:55:51 AM »
« Edited: February 03, 2012, 12:08:06 PM by Yank2133 »
It depends how low the UE rate is, if it is lower then 8% Obama could very well win much like Clinton did in 1996.

But still, I will go with option 2.
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Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
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« Reply #3 on: February 03, 2012, 02:23:20 PM »
Obama win (lower)
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TheGlobalizer
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« Reply #4 on: February 03, 2012, 02:44:23 PM »
I'm going with Romney win <5% right now.

Yes, I know I'm an outlier on this.
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