GA PrimR: Survey USA: Gingrich leads by double-digits

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Georgia President by Survey USA on 2012-02-02

Summary:

Gingrich:	45%
Romney:	32%
Santorum:	9%
Paul:	8%
Other:	2%
Undecided:	4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[retromike22]

Yay! I see Gingrich's southern strategy is still in place.

[Tender Branson]

Changes from the previous SUSA poll:

Romney +20 points
Gingrich -20 points
Santorum +8 points
Paul +3 points

[TheGlobalizer]

Yay! I see Gingrich's southern Georgia strategy is still in place.

Fixed.

[Lief 🗽]

Yay! I see Gingrich's southern Georgia strategy is still in place.

Fixed.

If Romney's not winning Georgia he's certainly not winning Tennessee or Oklahoma (or Mississippi/Alabama which vote the week after).

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Changes from the previous SUSA poll:

Romney +20 points
Gingrich -20 points
Santorum +8 points
Paul +3 points

Not good movement for Gingrich.  Even from other polls after the last SUSA one, he's not doing as well.

[Eraserhead]

This is promising and it's exactly why Newt needs to hang on 'til Super Tuesday. Still, I'd like to see a poll of a southern state that isn't where he served in Congress from (TN would be ideal).

[Mr. Morden]

The majority of the delegates in Georgia (as in many other states) are allocated by congressional district.  But in Georgia, the winner of the CD gets 2 delegates and the runner up gets 1 delegate.....unless the winner breaks 50%.  Then he gets all 3 delegates from the district.  So the key here delegate-wise is how many CDs Gingrich can break 50% in.

[TheGlobalizer]

Yay! I see Gingrich's southern Georgia strategy is still in place.

Fixed.

If Romney's not winning Georgia he's certainly not winning Tennessee or Oklahoma (or Mississippi/Alabama which vote the week after).

Gingrich is from GA, otherwise I'd agree.

[Lief 🗽]

Yay! I see Gingrich's southern Georgia strategy is still in place.

Fixed.

If Romney's not winning Georgia he's certainly not winning Tennessee or Oklahoma (or Mississippi/Alabama which vote the week after).

Gingrich is from GA, otherwise I'd agree.

Meh, I'd be surprised if he has that much of a homestate bounce. He represented like a 10th of the state 15 years ago.

[tmthforu94]

Not overly impressive numbers for Gingrich - will be interesting to see if he can expand out of the South any.

[Adam Griffin]

Gingrich has no fervent home state support here other than the Republican political establishment. Gingrich isn't a "real Georgian" as you can clearly hear in his voice. The only enthusiastic "grassroots" support he has is among mainly the racist, upper classes that today dwell in a line crossing Cherokee, Forsyth and Hall counties, which just so happen to be close to his old 6th District.

He represented a sliver of Cobb, Fulton and Cherokee counties in the US House, and the only reason he won was because like him, most of his constituents were upper class Yankee Republicans who were okay with Newt's moderate Republican ideas at the time. He literally could not have won election in any other part of the state during that time period and still probably couldn't, as he would either be too conservative or too liberal.

Gingrich will likely win because half of Georgia Republicans do not want a moderate Massachusetts Mormon and will instead vote for a moderate Pennsylvania Catholic.

I genuinely believe though that Romney could compete here if he would throw money at it like he has everywhere else. Georgians are very "receptive" to negative ads. Inner metro Atlanta conservatives won't vote for Newt because he is an embarrassment and a large swath of true conservatives here despise Newt for his moderate stances on issues, his feigned conservatism that comes off as not genuine, the embarrassment he brought to this state and his immoral behavior, which is a sin in their eyes.

Alas, he'll probably win here, though.