How well will Mittens do with the white working class if he wins the nomination?

[Vermin Supreme]

I'll say he grabs about 40% to 50%  of the votes in this demographic.

[memphis]

You'll have to define "working class" for this thread to be meaningful. The GOP usually wins among lower income whites, albeit more narrowly than with wealthier whites. Anywhere from 50-55% sounds reasonable.

[ajb]

For reference, in the 2008 exit polls, McCain won whites under $50 000, 51-47. Not sure if that counts as "working class," but it's as close as the exit polls get.

[Vermin Supreme]

For reference, in the 2008 exit polls, McCain won whites under $50 000, 51-47. Not sure if that counts as "working class," but it's as close as the exit polls get.

That were I'm getting when it comes to what I believe is white working class.

[ajb]

I do think that Romney might underperform with this demographic (though he might overperform with higher-income whites). Neither Obama  nor Romney is exactly the dream candidate for appealing to the white working class, though.

[Kevin]

I do think that Romney might underperform with this demographic (though he might overperform with higher-income whites). Neither Obama  nor Romney is exactly the dream candidate for appealing to the white working class, though.

Didn't Obama win amongst higher income whites in 2008 and the same for Kerry in 2004(very narrowly)? Although, from what I remember the Republicans did rather well amongst this group in 2010.

[memphis]

I do think that Romney might underperform with this demographic (though he might overperform with higher-income whites). Neither Obama  nor Romney is exactly the dream candidate for appealing to the white working class, though.

Didn't Obama win amongst higher income whites in 2008 and the same for Kerry in 2004(very narrowly)? Although, from what I remember the Republicans did rather well amongst this group in 2010.

Absolutely not. High income whites are one of the most solidly GOP groups in the nation.

[ajb]

I do think that Romney might underperform with this demographic (though he might overperform with higher-income whites). Neither Obama  nor Romney is exactly the dream candidate for appealing to the white working class, though.

Didn't Obama win amongst higher income whites in 2008 and the same for Kerry in 2004(very narrowly)? Although, from what I remember the Republicans did rather well amongst this group in 2010.

McCain won whites over $50 000, 56-43. Mind you, Obama won voters over $200 000, 52-46, but that of course will include non-white as well as white voters (a small percentage, perhaps,at that income level, but highly likely to vote for Obama, so still potentially significant). With the overall population, income groups between $50 000 and $200 000 were all within about three points between the two candidates.

[5280]

He might take about 50%-60% of the white working class, depends if he can convince them why they should vote for him instead of Santorum getting the nomination.

[Ljube]

Better than McCain, far worse than Santorum (Bush).

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Not very well. Obama has a shot at regaining lost ground in Pennsylvania, Ohio, and West Virginia.

[Vermin Supreme]

I do think that Romney might underperform with this demographic (though he might overperform with higher-income whites). Neither Obama  nor Romney is exactly the dream candidate for appealing to the white working class, though.

The higher income whites will be split demographic if both Romney and Obama are the nominations.

[Kevin]

I do think that Romney might underperform with this demographic (though he might overperform with higher-income whites). Neither Obama  nor Romney is exactly the dream candidate for appealing to the white working class, though.

Didn't Obama win amongst higher income whites in 2008 and the same for Kerry in 2004(very narrowly)? Although, from what I remember the Republicans did rather well amongst this group in 2010.

McCain won whites over $50 000, 56-43. Mind you, Obama won voters over $200 000, 52-46, but that of course will include non-white as well as white voters (a small percentage, perhaps,at that income level, but highly likely to vote for Obama, so still potentially significant). With the overall population, income groups between $50 000 and $200 000 were all within about three points between the two candidates.

I was confusing the two groups then.

[Averroës Nix]

He'll perform very well among those who vote.