Maine results thread.
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Author Topic: Maine results thread.  (Read 40030 times)
tpfkaw
wormyguy
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« Reply #150 on: February 11, 2012, 06:30:34 PM »

Ugh, they stole another one.  This one blatant if the Watch the Vote people can come through.

Considering than state GOP is controled by Paulites...

Uh, no.  The state convention was briefly taken over by tea partiers, who included some Paulites, but they didn't replace any of the party leadership.
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Meeker
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« Reply #151 on: February 11, 2012, 06:32:15 PM »

Paul's campaign is increasingly proving to be nothing more than a paper tiger.
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Torie
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« Reply #152 on: February 11, 2012, 06:32:24 PM »

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What on Earth is this all about?  
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Alcon
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« Reply #153 on: February 11, 2012, 06:32:34 PM »

It's close enough that Ron Paul still has a chance at actually winning it, though.

Really?  How much is left?  If it's just a few scattered caucuses, Paul is screwed.  If this is some sort of weird "optional, some caucus sites do it" kinda thing, I guess Paul's still in it if he gets lucky.

I assume it's the former, though, since Intrade just went to like 99.9% Romney.

All of Washington County is still out, but, yeah, they aren't going to make up 200 vote margin.  Last cycle there were only 192 votes cast in that county according to what I saw earlier.

Not to mention that I wouldn't be surprised if Washington County were Romney's best county in the state.

Turnout was actually up over 2008, which is mildly hilarious.
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RI
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« Reply #154 on: February 11, 2012, 06:34:01 PM »

Worst part is that they aren't going to release the town-by-town vote until Monday.
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Thomas D
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« Reply #155 on: February 11, 2012, 06:34:53 PM »


From Twitter

PublicPolicyPolling:
You couldn't get elected UNC Student Body President with Romney's Maine vote total
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Alcon
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« Reply #156 on: February 11, 2012, 06:35:28 PM »

Apparently, about 16% of precincts aren't included in the straw poll, which may indicate that more than Washington County is outstanding.  Still, it'd have to be a pretty decent Paulslide.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #157 on: February 11, 2012, 06:35:56 PM »

This blows. My brokered convention dreams are being snuffed out again.

Romney's just going to flatten Santorum with ads in Michigan and that's that. F**k!
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« Reply #158 on: February 11, 2012, 06:36:55 PM »

So are the results just going to come all at once in one big dump? Pretty anti-climactic but I guess preferable to the Nevada mess.

Everything except Washington County will come in at once, where the caucuses were pushed back a week due to snow. If it's close, we might not know the winner until next week.

And somehow I have this instinct that Washington County is Mittens country. It's bucolic, incredibly scenic, probably relatively high income, and well salted with old line Yankees. But it's a caucus so ...

And it's a week later, so the game may be a bit different by then to boot.
It's relatively low-income, with an economy based on fish and berries.
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Negusa Nagast 🚀
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« Reply #159 on: February 11, 2012, 06:38:13 PM »

Romney did worse in a state that is in Romney's backyard, backed him with over 52% of the vote in 2008, and Romney has been running for President for 6 years.
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Torie
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« Reply #160 on: February 11, 2012, 06:38:17 PM »

It's close enough that Ron Paul still has a chance at actually winning it, though.

Really?  How much is left?  If it's just a few scattered caucuses, Paul is screwed.  If this is some sort of weird "optional, some caucus sites do it" kinda thing, I guess Paul's still in it if he gets lucky.

I assume it's the former, though, since Intrade just went to like 99.9% Romney.

Paul may not be "screwed" in the metaphysical sense. As noted in that other thread I started, he may be doing the lord's work for the "perfect" one.  Smiley  It is kind of interesting how the personalities play off one another. I mean, Newt is really closest to Mittens in some ways on the issues (kind of frightening, but I said "kind of" rather than "replicates"), yet Newt and Mittens seem to loathe one another. And Mittens agrees with Paul on next to nothing, yet they seem to like and respect one another. Go figure. Meanwhile Perry hated Mittens I think mostly because he was jealous of his IQ. At least Newt had the grace not to point out just how low Perry's was.  Tongue
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Alcon
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« Reply #161 on: February 11, 2012, 06:39:05 PM »

Somehow I confused Washington and York Counties...Washington County is the poorest county in Maine.  Sorry.

I'm not clear on why McCain won there, but in such ridiculously self-selective caucus environments, there may not be a demographic explanation.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #162 on: February 11, 2012, 06:42:13 PM »

This poor bastard. Let this guy win something!
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Torie
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« Reply #163 on: February 11, 2012, 06:43:54 PM »

This poor bastard. Let this guy win something!

Well Alaska and LDS-lite Wyoming are out there. Smiley
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #164 on: February 11, 2012, 06:44:55 PM »

Gentlemen, please. Nothing serious here from Romney and the usual from Paul. Move along now.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #165 on: February 11, 2012, 06:45:28 PM »

This blows. My brokered convention dreams are being snuffed out again.

Romney's just going to flatten Santorum with ads in Michigan and that's that. F**k!

Paul will probably have a majority of delegates at the state convention.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #166 on: February 11, 2012, 06:46:10 PM »

Will Romney speak?
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
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« Reply #167 on: February 11, 2012, 06:46:29 PM »

Other than more of Gingrich's supporters switching to Santorum than I expected, this was pretty much as I thought it would be, Romney squeaking a win out over Paul.  No need for me to change my predictions based on tonight's results.
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Politico
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« Reply #168 on: February 11, 2012, 06:47:54 PM »

Gentlemen, please. Nothing serious here from Romney and the usual from Paul. Move along now.

Romney has more delegates and just as many states as the fiscally counterfeit conservative, so that's the story now.
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Torie
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« Reply #169 on: February 11, 2012, 06:49:04 PM »
« Edited: February 11, 2012, 06:52:03 PM by Torie »

This blows. My brokered convention dreams are being snuffed out again.

Romney's just going to flatten Santorum with ads in Michigan and that's that. F**k!

Paul will probably have a majority of delegates at the state convention.

Sure if Rick throws his votes to Paul.  Newt doesn't have any votes to speak of.  Tongue  Mittens is not going to allow his votes to be stolen by having Paulites go to the convention that are part of his quota. His operatives are on the ground in Maine.

Of more import, is that the destruction of Newt is moving rather fast now, with his twin anemic showings at CPAC and Maine today. So the odds continue to go up, that Rick will get his rather clean shot at Mittens, muddied only by Paulites, who Mittens needs now more than ever, since I don't think many of them would gravitate to Mittens if Paul exits.
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tpfkaw
wormyguy
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« Reply #170 on: February 11, 2012, 06:49:22 PM »

Oh, btw, over at the Ron Paul Forums, the mood is furious... at Ron Paul.  Kinda belies the whole "cult" notion.

examples:

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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #171 on: February 11, 2012, 06:49:42 PM »

Gentlemen, please. Nothing serious here from Romney and the usual from Paul. Move along now.

Romney has more delegates and just as many states as the fiscally counterfeit conservative, so that's the story now.

Ok, yes, at Romney HQs, that is certainly the story. His "sweeping" victory here will carry him over all of the others just like his landslide victory helped him coast just days later in Missouri, Minnesota and Colorado.
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Mopsus
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« Reply #172 on: February 11, 2012, 06:50:53 PM »

This blows. My brokered convention dreams are being snuffed out again.

Romney's just going to flatten Santorum with ads in Michigan and that's that. F**k!
Don't lose heart yet! Remember when we all thought that Romney would win South Carolina and that would be the end of it? There's still time!
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Politico
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« Reply #173 on: February 11, 2012, 06:51:53 PM »
« Edited: February 11, 2012, 06:55:25 PM by Politico »

Gentlemen, please. Nothing serious here from Romney and the usual from Paul. Move along now.

Romney has more delegates and just as many states as the fiscally counterfeit conservative, so that's the story now.

Ok, yes, at Romney HQs, that is certainly the story. His "sweeping" victory here will carry him over all of the others just like his landslide victory helped him coast just days later in Missouri, Minnesota and Colorado.

4:30-onward of this video is what we're going to do to your boy if he becomes a monstrosity like Gingrich:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-3I2rDZAJQg
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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #174 on: February 11, 2012, 06:52:26 PM »

All right, which one of you guys did this?

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