Maine results thread.

[Lief 🗽]

Awesome! Assuming turn-out is down from 2008 again (which is likely), that's probably something like 10-20% of the vote already.

[Lief 🗽]

Santorum will probably surge in Saturday's voting. Should be enough to keep the winner under 40%, I hope.

If Paul loses Maine, does he win any state?

WA, AK, and ND remain possibilities. Montana would also be a prime opportunity if it were still a caucus this year. He'll probably get a strong second in Idaho, but the Mormons there should put Mitt over the top.

[Lief 🗽]

Yeah, they basically cancelled the caucuses in 2008 when it looked like he was going to win, IIRC.

[Lief 🗽]

It actually started in January and will last until March 3rd in some places, but the straw poll results will be announced Saturday at 7:30 PM EST.

[Lief 🗽]

He'll probably get a strong second in Idaho, but the Mormons there should put Mitt over the top.

Mormons will probably be a majority of the vote in the Idaho caucus.

Yeah, luckily Idaho is proportional, so Paul will still get some delegates at least.

[Lief 🗽]

Do we have any idea of what percentage of the vote this represents so far? When I did a similar thing for the Nevada caucuses, in the end I only got about 10 or 15% of the total vote, but the final percentages were fairly similar.

[Lief 🗽]

GUYS CALM DOWN.

Let's not psyche ourselves up and get heartbroken. Luckily the Maine GOP was basically taken over by Teabaggers/Paultards last year, so if there's any cheating go on it should be in Paul's favor, for once.

[Lief 🗽]

There is absolutely nothing moderate about Mitt Romney.

[Lief 🗽]

Can someone explain to me what makes Mitt Romney (the 2012 model) any more "moderate" than George W. Bush?

He was vaguely kind of sort of not completely anti-abortion at some point in the almost not that distant past.

[Lief 🗽]

Is there a live stream somewhere?

[Lief 🗽]

I wish Snowe/Collins (honestly don't know the difference) would shut up and just tell us the results.

[Lief 🗽]

HERE IT COMES

[Lief 🗽]

god shut up you old man

[Lief 🗽]

goddamnit

[Lief 🗽]

Lost by 200 votes.

This sucks.

[Lief 🗽]

This blows. My brokered convention dreams are being snuffed out again.

Romney's just going to flatten Santorum with ads in Michigan and that's that. F**k!

Paul will probably have a majority of delegates at the state convention.

[Lief 🗽]

Ron Paul should drop out at this point and endorse Mitt Romney like he's always wanted to. What a joke.

[Lief 🗽]

The Dems managed to run their caucuses perfectly fine in 2008. It's only the GOP that is full of incompetents.