Maine results thread.

[tpfkaw]

Might as well start this early.

Here are some early leaked results according to WatchTheVote (Paul supporters who report the vote totals in their precinct, so I can't vouch for its accuracy, but they were the ones who figured out Santorum beat Romney in IA).

Image of the summary if you don't have a Google account:

[tpfkaw]

Paulmentum!

[tpfkaw]

Yeah, unfortunately an extrapolation from Aroostook and Knox looks like a 3-5 pt Romney victory statewide, so we'll have to bank on poor turnout and/or bigger Paul gains downstate.

[tpfkaw]

That same thing happened with IA; people on the far side of the world searching for the IA results early saw wacky placeholder results (I think they had Cain in first and Roemer in third, or something like that).

[tpfkaw]

Wow - according to my spreadsheet, turnout in Androscoggin is 184% what it was in '08.  "Complete" totals from Aroostook and Knox on RP-supporter spreadsheet are both down slightly.

EDIT: Funny, Romney goes from winning 52% of Androscoggin in '08 to winning 28% in '12 - with one fewer vote.

I'd be more skeptical of Twitter results than spreadsheet results, especially when you have wild swings in turnout like that.  Would be cool though.  Aroostook and Knox probably had some double-counted precincts.

[tpfkaw]

Spreadsheet now has Androscoggin results, looks like the tweet was accurate, but incomplete (and the spreadsheet still says the results are partial!).

[tpfkaw]

Ugh, if Paul wins the media narrative will be all about not-Frothy's* "strong third."

*(don't want to be anti-pro-heterosexual!)

[tpfkaw]

Name a state the doesn't "Pride itself on it's independence."

Rhode Island would be the obvious example.

(Also New York, Florida, California, Maryland, Delaware, etc. etc.)

[tpfkaw]

Chairman downplaying the results before he reads them!!!

[tpfkaw]

Ugh, they stole another one.  This one blatant if the Watch the Vote people can come through.

[tpfkaw]

Ugh, they stole another one.  This one blatant if the Watch the Vote people can come through.

Considering than state GOP is controled by Paulites...

Uh, no.  The state convention was briefly taken over by tea partiers, who included some Paulites, but they didn't replace any of the party leadership.

[tpfkaw]

Oh, btw, over at the Ron Paul Forums, the mood is furious... at Ron Paul.  Kinda belies the whole "cult" notion.

examples:

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[tpfkaw]

A member of the Ron Paul forums had this to say on 2/05:

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He followed it up today:

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[tpfkaw]

Hah, the Washington County caucus was delayed exactly until the University of Maine at Mathias was on break.  Nothing to see here...

[tpfkaw]

Per @fivethirtyeight:

"Maine neglected to count results from caucuses in Waterville, and Waldo County, which were strong for Paul in 2008."

Bangor Daily Nwes - "Pressure mounting for GOP caucus reconsideration"
http://bangordailynews.com/2012/02/14/politics/elections/pressure-mounting-for-gop-caucus-reconsideration/

And it said they reversed(!) the results for Paul and Romney in Portland(!).

[tpfkaw]

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/02/17/maine-gop-chair-romney-will-maintain-win/

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