Seats Democrats are going to need to take back the House

[Mr.Phips]

Here are the seats that I believe Democrats are going to need to take back the House:

1. AZ-01
2. CA-07
3. CA-26
4. CA-10
5. CA-31
6. CA-52
7. CO-03
8. CO-06
9. FL-18
10. FL-22
11. FL-25
12. IL-08
13. IL-10
14. IL-11
15. IL-13
16. IL-17
17. MN-08
18. NV-03
19. NH-01
20. NH-02
21. NJ-03
22. NY-09
23. NY-13
24. NY-19
25. NY-20
26. NY-25
27. OH-06
28. OH-16
29. MD-06
30. FL-02
31. IA-04
32. MI-01
33. PA-08
34. WI-07
35. WI-08
36. CA-36
37. TX-23
38. TX-27
39. IN-08
40. MT-AL
41. ND-AL
42. TX-14

Assume Democrats lose:

1. TX-25
2. AR-04
3. OK-02
4. NC-08
5. NC-11
6. NC-13
7. GA-12

This would mean that Democrats would gain a 228-207 majority.

Obviously Democrats need to expand the playing field.  They needed to get better candidates in swing seats like MI-06, MI-07, MI-10, OH-07, OH-14, PA-06, PA-07, NY-24, WA-03, WA-08, VA-02, and WV-01.

In all likelyhood, Democrats will end up with around 210-213 seats, just short of a majority as I think Democrats will fall short in many of these seats. 

[Filuwaúrdjan]

And then, after this failure, they're doomed for precisely 48 years, yes?

[Miles]

I'd also throw in at least one of the Arkansas seats.

I'd like them to pick up AR-01 or AR-02 and hold AR-04.

Isn't AZ-09 also Democratic-leaning?

[bgwah]

The Republicans will easily hold WA-03 and WA-08. They have a very good chance at picking up WA-01, too, since the Democrats will probably run Darcy Burner (aka the worst candidate ever) for the third time.