MA PrimR: Suffolk University: Romney up by a lot

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Massachusetts President by Suffolk University on 2012-02-15

Summary:

Romney:	64%
Santorum:	16%
Paul:	7%
Gingrich:	6%
Other:	1%
Undecided:	6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Eraserhead]

Shocking.

[redcommander]

That's what you get when you only have one semi-moderate Republican left running. Romney can at least count on winning all of Massachusetts' delegates.

[Mr. Morden]

Romney can at least count on winning all of Massachusetts' delegates.

I thought that anyone breaking 15% got some delegates?

[RI]

Romney can at least count on winning all of Massachusetts' delegates.

I thought that anyone breaking 15% got some delegates?

Yes, if Santorum breaks 15% he will get statewide and CD delegates.

[redcommander]

Romney can at least count on winning all of Massachusetts' delegates.

I thought that anyone breaking 15% got some delegates?

Yes, if Santorum breaks 15% he will get statewide and CD delegates.

He's only one point over though. I think there's a good chance he gets less.

[© tweed]

seems like a lot, but neither Gingrich nor Santorum can play remotely as well here as did McCain.

[Niemeyerite]

I think Paul will get a delegate or two here. And Santorum could, too.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

With numbers like these, you'd think Massachusetts was Mitt's home state instead of Michigan.

[Stranger in a strange land]

Who else wants to bet that Santorum fails to break 30% in the GE here vs Obama?

[Lief 🗽]

Remember when Romney barely beat McCain here in 2008? That was fun.

But yeah, hopefully Santorum (and Paul!) break 15% to keep some delegates out of Mitt's pocket.

[© tweed]

Remember when Romney barely beat McCain here in 2008? That was fun.

I would typically associate this with the "Home" candidate having alienated elements of his local party infrastructure in one way or another -- McCain also sort-of struggled in the AZ primary in 2008 -- but I know nothing specific in this case, and this one poll points in another direction.

[Hash]

Remember when Romney barely beat McCain here in 2008? That was fun.

Well, Microsoft Windows Romney 08 was running on conservatism.exe instead of fakemoderate.exe as Windows Romney 12 is running on this year.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Remember when Romney barely beat McCain here in 2008? That was fun.

But yeah, hopefully Santorum (and Paul!) break 15% to keep some delegates out of Mitt's pocket.

McCain beat Romney in my CD.

[redcommander]

Remember when Romney barely beat McCain here in 2008? That was fun.

Well, Microsoft Windows Romney 08 was running on conservatism.exe instead of fakemoderate.exe as Windows Romney 12 is running on this year.

Romney's still the same conservative he was in 2008. The problem for him is that rest of his competition is so batsh*t crazy, that Massachusetts will hold its nose and vote for him over the other three.

[Erc]

Remember when Romney barely beat McCain here in 2008? That was fun.

But yeah, hopefully Santorum (and Paul!) break 15% to keep some delegates out of Mitt's pocket.

McCain beat Romney in my CD.

Massachusetts assigns all of its delegates based on the statewide vote, so sadly the individual CD results won't matter.

But it will still be quite interesting to look at the results in Capuano's old district, especially since that's where I'll be voting this time around.  I imagine Paul will do better than in the rest of the state, but not nearly enough to win it, by any means.   (Of course, the new lines are a bit wonkier---the closest equivalent, CD-7, no longer has downtown Boston and cuts Cambridge in half---I'm only about two blocks from being in the new CD-5).

Also, as WalterMitty would of course remind us, they do hate them some Romney out in Berkshire County.  Not enough to go for anybody else, though.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

They hate them some Romney pretty much anywhere west of the Quabbin except for some of the suburbs immediately east and west (not north) of Springfield, really. But they (we) also hate us some right-wing religious identity politics and paleolibertarianism.

[Vermin Supreme]

Ron Paul would do pretty well out in the college towns.