CA PrimR: Field Research Corporation: Romney slightly ahead, Santorum & Paul gaining

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: California President by Field Research Corporation on 2012-02-18

Summary:

Romney:	31%
Santorum:	25%
Paul:	16%
Gingrich:	12%
Other:	0%
Undecided:	16%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Sbane]

It will be close in California. Romneys advantage might be that he will do well in a lot of the more democratic districts that don't have a large vote and walk away with more delegates than one might expect. Also Gingrich is inexplicably doing quite well in inland areas. If that vote coalesces behind Santorum by June, he could even win the state.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Romney has an advantage in both the coastal areas and most of SoCal (rich white douchbags). If Santorum is still in by then, he'll do best inland.

[Sbane]

Depends on how you define Socal. The coastal areas of Los Angeles and Orange, yeah Romney will do well. But a lot of people in Socal live far from the beach, are lower income, but the whites vote Republican. That is anti-Romney territory. Actually Arizona is a great model for those sorts of places. Hopefully they do an exit poll there. I will be looking at the non-mormon vote keenly.

[redcommander]

Is most of Paul's support coming from the Bay Area?

[Erc]

California's also what, early June?  Not holding my breath, especially since at least one of these will have dropped out by then.