The "PPP leaks stuff about their polls" thread

[Tender Branson]

Montana and Indiana are not Romney-states ... yet.

[Tender Branson]

I wonder if Ron Paul will make some kind of an effort in Montana even though it's a primary this time instead of a caucus.

Ron Paul's best days of the campaign are behind him already.

With "effort", do you mean he aims for 12% instead of his recent 4-9% ?

The guy should drop out and Newt should follow him.

[Tender Branson]

Delaware might be fertile ground for Santorum too.

I'm not sure about that: many bankers and rich people there.

[Tender Branson]

Delaware might be fertile ground for Santorum too.

I'm not sure about that: many bankers and rich people there.

And many hicks downstate. These are the same people who chose to throw away a Senate seat by choosing a witch over a pillar of the state's political life.

On the other hand, Delaware's 2008 primary result mirrored the one in Illinois.

And we know how the IL primary ended this week.

[Tender Branson]

PPP says Tuesday will be brutal for the Anti-Mittens:

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[Tender Branson]

"We'll release Presidential part of Nevada poll tomorrow. Best numbers for Obama there since he was elected."

Hmm. What does that likely mean ?

Romney and Obama have been within 3 points so far in each PPP poll for Nevada.

Obama by 5-8 most likely.

[Tender Branson]

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Which basically means FL is a tossup without Rubio on the ticket.

Probably a 45-45 tie. Or Obama is up 50-45 ?

[Tender Branson]

Or Obama is up 50-45 ?

[Tender Branson]

We just had the very accurate Washington Post Virginia poll backing up PPP's findings in Virginia.

So, Iowa might not be a lost cause yet.

[Tender Branson]

"Obama doing quite well in New Hampshire, as he was in Iowa last week."

"8% of North Carolinians think being gay should be a felony."

[Tender Branson]

Regarding their presidential polls out later today:

Tomorrow's poll releases: Virginia President, North Carolina President, Wisconsin Senate

Another very good poll for Obama in Virginia. Going to be pretty surprised if he doesn't win it again.

Romney's down by decent amount in VA whether you include him or not but Virgil Goode could cause trouble for him there- takes 9% of GOP vote

Our sample is less Democratic this time, and less Democratic than 2008, and Obama still doing very well

Obama's up 11 with independents in Virginia, and he's getting 9% of Republicans while losing just 4% of Democrats

Obama up 85-12 with black voters in NC this month, the 76-20 in June was just an anomaly, as we thought

1 pt race for President in North Carolina this month...probably going to be about like that all the way through

Romney's experience at Bain is an 11 point net negative with North Carolina voters

Paul Ryan on the ticket helps Romney in Wisconsin a lot more than Scott Walker

[Tender Branson]

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This is almost identical to the 48-38 lead among Indys in their previous CO poll, in which Obama led by 7 overall.

Considering a sample this time of 35-35-30, Obama should lead by about 3-7 points again.

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http://twitter.com/ppppolls

[Tender Branson]

If I had to estimate PPP's Colorado topline for their release today, it would be 49-44 Obama, based on the above mentioned 35-35-30 sample and the 49-38 Indy split.

[Tender Branson]

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http://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/240188224813817857

[Tender Branson]

PPP polls Colorado, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina this weekend from Friday to Sunday to get a full post-convention look.

Florida and North Carolina will be released later today after 9pm Eastern. The other 2 states will be polled today as well and will be released tomorrow or Tuesday.

Some tweets:

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[Tender Branson]

Obama to still lead in CO (by small margin), and in MI (by bigger margin).

[Tender Branson]

PPP to poll Minnesota, Montana, North Carolina, Ohio this weekend.

[Tender Branson]

More twittering:

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http://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/244459869439131648

[Tender Branson]

PPP to poll Maine, Massachusetts, Virginia, Wisconsin over the next week.

VA & WI over the weekend and ME & MA early next week.

[Tender Branson]

Apparently support for Virgil Goode (L) is sliding fast in VA:

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[Tender Branson]

Apparently support for Virgil Goode (L) is sliding fast in VA:

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Constitution, not Libertarian.

That's what happens when you post early in the morning ...

[Tender Branson]

BREAKING:

PPP to poll "everything" the week before the election.

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Also:

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http://twitter.com/ppppolls

[Tender Branson]

PPP will release CO & FL tonight.

[Tender Branson]

If PPP isnt throwing down tweets on CO and FL, I suspect these may turn out allright for Romney.

PPP's latest tweet from 1 hour ago suggests this is true.

[Tender Branson]

What PPP plans for the next couple of days:

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