The "PPP leaks stuff about their polls" thread

[Eraserhead]

Yeah, he'll basically lock this thing up on Super Tuesday if he can win 7 or 8 out of 10.

[Eraserhead]

Of course Romney is leading, they polled the state just a day after his Michigan and Arizona triumphs and all the positive coverage he had.

Well, the caucus is on Saturaday. It's not like the positive coverage is going to subside much by then.

[Eraserhead]

Of course Romney is leading, they polled the state just a day after his Michigan and Arizona triumphs and all the positive coverage he had.

Well, the caucus is on Saturaday. It's not like the positive coverage is going to subside much by then.

Just like it didn't subside after his Florida/Nevada wins?

Most of the coverage about NV dealt with the low turnout and the horrendous vote counting shenanigans. Michigan was a competitive primary in a big state. If Mitt can just keep his trap shut for another day, he should be fine.

[Eraserhead]

The Newt surge might hit just in time.

[Eraserhead]

Meh. Romney leading in North Carolina does not mean he is definitely leading in Mississippi or Alabama.

[Eraserhead]

I'd be alright with Santorum winning Alabama and Gingrich winning Mississippi. I still can't really fathom the idea of Romney winning either of them. I just can't.

[Eraserhead]

They are supposed to start releasing results after 11.

[Eraserhead]

Should MS be out soon?

Edit: Yep, 30 minutes or so.

[Eraserhead]

Looks like that Rasmussen poll that gave Romney an 8 point lead in MS was bull. I can't say I'm surprised, that thing just didn't look right.

[Eraserhead]

Illinois poll coming on Sunday night.

[Eraserhead]

Getting pretty tired of the national polls. No real point to them. Almost half of the states have already voted.

[Eraserhead]

Romney up by a "healthy margin" in IL.

[Eraserhead]

Huh? Where does that "It's over!!! Romney has it wrapped up!!!" thing came from the last two days? Mittens was always the heavy favorite in Illinois, even after his southern debacle. A simple look at an Illinois map will show even to the most naive that Chicagoland will always outvote downstate, even in a Republican primary.

And Santorum will be fine in April as long as he wins the states he's expected to win (Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and perhaps Delaware). If he manages to survive there then it will be Romney who will have to face a brutal month in May.

Santorum needs a game changer. Illinois would be one but he's not getting it. In fact, he's probably going to get blown out of the water. On the current trajectory (Santorum winning some of the caucus states and most of the ultra conservative states/Romney winning everything else), Romney wins the nomination. Simple as that.

[Eraserhead]

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About having unpopular opinions?

He was 3rd in MS and AL and won both. That should count as a game changer, no?

Not really, no. Both are conservative strongholds.

[Eraserhead]

Good. Santorum needs a solid win to keep the lulz coming.

[Eraserhead]

We all know how this is all going to end...

I think Wisconsin and North Carolina could both go either way. But yeah, pretty much.

[Eraserhead]

I wonder if Ron Paul will make some kind of an effort in Montana even though it's a primary this time instead of a caucus.

[Eraserhead]

That's okay. I was getting bored anyway. It's probably time to mostly step away from presidential election politics for a few months.

[Eraserhead]

Well, come on, the speech was ridiculous/sad but who doesn't like Clint Eastwood?

[Eraserhead]

PPP to poll Minnesota, Montana, North Carolina, Ohio this weekend.

Wow, nice group.

[Eraserhead]

I'm very interested to see any and all post-47% polling. That story didn't really blow up until today though.

[Eraserhead]

I'd be happy with Obama +1 from them.

[Eraserhead]

That's all for tonight. We haven't polled Pennsylvania forever so we snuck an extra poll in there for tomorrow. CO, IA, NH later in the week

I'm curious about Iowa.

[Eraserhead]

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Terrible idea.

Yeah, that's incredibly dumb for a number of reasons.

[Eraserhead]

Our PPP poll will have the most pessimistic Obama numbers of the week. - @markos




Great news!

They are probably setting a low bar for Obama this week, so they can show a big bounce next week ...

When will this poll be released?