The "PPP leaks stuff about their polls" thread

[Meeker]

Well, if you want to get technical, Hawaii doesn't "award" any delegates on Tuesday, because their caucus isn't a binding process (and at any rate, they may not even have a straw poll; I haven't seen confirmation of this).

They're definitely doing a straw poll: http://www.gophawaii.com/2012-presidential-caucus/

ETA: It's also worth noting that polls in Hawai'i won't even close until 2 AM EST. Who knows when results will actually start coming in.

[Meeker]

We all know how this is all going to end...

[Meeker]

"People who decided 'in the last few days' in WI (9% of electorate) go Santorum 52, Romney 27."

[Meeker]

...and maybe some momentum...

Most of the momentum he has, he'll lose when he loses Wisconsin.  People are beginning to realize he mathematically won't be able to do it unless he starts having some huge wins in the immediate future.

Hillary continued to win states long after it was mathematically impossible for her to win.

[Meeker]

42 Romney, 37 Santorum, 9 Paul, 6 Gingrich

[Meeker]

I used to think Santorum would stay in no matter what. I'm now seeing him dropping out 4/24.

[Meeker]

I blame Newt for preventing Santorum from reaching his true peak against Romney among the Republican electorate

I blame Santorum for preventing Newt from reaching his true peak against Romney among the Republican electorate

That doesn't really make much sense. Santorum was still in the low single digits back when Newt was leading in December.

[Meeker]

lolz

of course, not expecting an Obama bounce in NC after the DNC either