The Mikado
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Posts: 21,767
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« on: March 19, 2012, 03:29:58 PM » |
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Ben Kenobi, Santorum can't even begin to erode Romney's lead unless he starts winning states that will give him decisive pools of delegates. Romney racking up the numbers while Santorum boasts about winning Southern contests that award him practically no net delegates simply will not cut it. If you note things like how Hawaii neutralized Santorum's win in AL and MS and Romney actually won more delegates and expanded his lead on the night of his "big defeat," you'll start to see the magnitude of the task Santorum faces. If he's to force the brokered convention, he needs to beat Romney in states like IL, states like NJ, states like...hell, even possibly NY.
I respect the hell out of the campaign Santorum's run. Being dead serious for a moment, Santorum has literally won states despite being outspent 5/1 or worse. That's pretty incredible and speaks to how terrible a candidate Romney is the passion of Santorum's supporters. But unless he shakes the dynamics of the race up, he will lose, even though he'll win another 8-10 states along the way to defeat.
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